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	<title>positively &#8211; USA NEWS LIVE</title>
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	<title>positively &#8211; USA NEWS LIVE</title>
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		<title>The misery index sees Kamala Harris positively within the presidential election campaign</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/09/the-misery-index-sees-kamala-harris-positively-within-the-presidential-election-campaign/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Sep 2024 18:10:14 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[campaign]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Harris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kamala]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[misery]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[presidential]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[An indicator of economic malaise that has been regularly used prior to now to predict elections is trending toward a Kamala Harris victory &#8211; however the race appears to be close because it approaches its final stretch. The &#8220;misery index&#8221; is calculated from the sum of the unemployment rate and the annualized inflation rate within [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>An indicator of economic malaise that has been regularly used prior to now to predict elections is trending toward a Kamala Harris victory &#8211; however the race appears to be close because it approaches its final stretch.</p>
<p>The &#8220;misery index&#8221; is calculated from the sum of the unemployment rate and the annualized inflation rate within the United States. It has accurately predicted 15 of the last 16 races for the White House, including every presidential duel since 1980, in line with an evaluation by the research firm Strategas.</p>
<p>This index is now at 7.02, below the worth that Strategas believes could be consistent with an electoral defeat for the incumbent party. This figure explains the slight drop within the unemployment rate for August to 4.2%, in line with Friday&#39;s labor market report.</p>
<p>According to Strategas, the incumbent party &#8211; on this case the Democrats led by Harris &#8211; should be below 7.353 in October to emerge victorious. The company determined this value through an exclusive evaluation of the misery index, which was calculated based on historical data and shows how high the misery index would must be for the present incumbent party to stay in power.</p>
<p>In other words, a rating below this threshold essentially implies that voters usually are not economically “dissatisfied” enough to throw out the incumbent party.</p>
</div>
<div class="group">
<p>In addition to the unemployment rate, falling gasoline prices are helping to limit economic problems to a level that advantages Democrats, said Daniel Clifton, head of political research at Strategas. Still, he described the race as &#8220;extremely close&#8221; in a note to clients on Monday.</p>
<p>Clifton&#39;s comments come ahead of Tuesday night&#39;s debate between Harris and Republican Donald Trump. The event, hosted by ABC News in Philadelphia, is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET.</p>
<p>“Given the close race, the stakes ahead of a debate are higher than ever before,” he said.</p>
<p>Followers of the misery index will get their next update on Wednesday, when the buyer price index for August is released at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the indicator, which tracks price changes in a broad basket of products and services, to be 2.6% higher in comparison with the identical month last yr.</p>
<p>This could be a decline from the two.9% annual rate recorded in July. It would also reflect a broader downward trend in annual inflation from the galloping levels seen at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic. The Federal Reserve, which sets U.S. monetary policy, has a <a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/economy_14400.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Target of two%</a> for annual price growth.</p>
<p>The misery index, then again, has fallen significantly in recent times because the annual inflation rate has slowed. It is noteworthy that the misery index was above the edge of seven.353 only last yr.</p>
<p>But Harris may now face challenges if concerns a couple of slowing labor market herald an increase within the unemployment rate. While the unemployment rate showed a slight month-on-month decline in August, market participants were unsettled on Friday because the number of individuals employed increased lower than economists had predicted in the course of the month.</p>
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		<title>Do hormonal contraceptives increase the chance of depression? A neuroscientist explains how they affect mood, positively or negatively</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/06/do-hormonal-contraceptives-increase-the-chance-of-depression-a-neuroscientist-explains-how-they-affect-mood-positively-or-negatively/</link>
					<comments>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/06/do-hormonal-contraceptives-increase-the-chance-of-depression-a-neuroscientist-explains-how-they-affect-mood-positively-or-negatively/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Jun 2024 03:36:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[affect]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[contraceptives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[explains]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[negatively]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=7229</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[More than 85% of girls &#8211; And greater than 300 million people worldwide at any time – use hormonal contraceptives for at the very least five years. Although they&#8217;re primarily used for contraception, many individuals also use hormonal contraceptives for treat quite a lot of symptoms related to menstruation, from cramps and pimples to mood [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p><a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0412.2011.01333.x">More than 85% of girls</a> &#8211; And <a href="https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/content/contraceptive-use-method-2019">greater than 300 million people</a> worldwide at any time – use hormonal contraceptives for at the very least five years. Although they&#8217;re primarily used for contraception, many individuals also use hormonal contraceptives for <a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK279264/">treat quite a lot of symptoms</a> related to menstruation, from cramps and pimples to mood swings.</p>
<p>For <a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0412.2011.01333.x">as much as 10% of girls</a>nevertheless, hormonal contraceptives may increase their risk of depression. Hormones, including estrogen and progesterone, are vital to brain health. So how does the alteration of hormone levels attributable to hormonal contraceptives affect mental health?</p>
<p>I&#8217;m a <a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=DJPB9-8AAAAJ&#038;hl=en">Researcher studying neuroscience</a> of stress and emotion-related processes. I also study gender differences in vulnerability and resilience to mental disorders. Understanding how hormonal contraception affects mood will help researchers predict who will experience positive or negative effects.</p>
<h2>How do hormonal contraceptives work?</h2>
<p>In the USA and other Western countries <a href="https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/content/contraceptive-use-method-2019">most typical type of hormonal contraception</a> Is &#8220;<a href="https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/pill-how-pill-works/">the pill</a>&#8220;&#8221; &#8211; a mix of synthetic estrogen and artificial progesterone, two hormones involved in regulating the menstrual cycle, ovulation, and pregnancy. Estrogen coordinates the timed release of other hormones, and progesterone maintains a pregnancy. </p>
<p>This could seem contradictory – why do naturally occurring hormones which might be essential for pregnancy also prevent pregnancy? And why does taking a hormone reduce the degrees of that very same hormone?</p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:79.84084880636605%;--background-color:#816e78"><img decoding="async" alt="Line graph showing the rise in estrogen levels, which peak on the first day of the menstrual cycle and then decline, and progesterone levels, which peak on the eighth day and then decline" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/598191/original/file-20240603-17-15zytx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/598191/original/file-20240603-17-15zytx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=479&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598191/original/file-20240603-17-15zytx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=479&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598191/original/file-20240603-17-15zytx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=479&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598191/original/file-20240603-17-15zytx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=602&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598191/original/file-20240603-17-15zytx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=602&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598191/original/file-20240603-17-15zytx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=602&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">When estrogen and progesterone reach a certain threshold, the body reduces their production.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Estradiol_and_Progesterone_in_menstrual_cycle.tif">Dharani Kalidasan/RI McLachlan et al.  1987 via Wikimedia Commons</a>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/">CC BY-SA</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>Hormonal cycles are tightly controlled by the hormones themselves. When progesterone levels rise, this prompts processes in cells that prevent the production of more progesterone. This known as <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/bitesize/guides/z3gxb82/revision/2">negative feedback loop</a>.</p>
<p>Estrogen and progesterone from the every day pill or other common contraceptives equivalent to implants or vaginal rings cause the body to diminish the production of those hormones, lowering them to levels seen outside the fertile window of the cycle. This disrupts the tightly orchestrated hormonal cycle required for ovulation, menstruation and pregnancy. </p>
<h2>Effects of hormonal contraceptives on the brain</h2>
<p>Hormonal contraceptives don&#8217;t only affect the ovaries and uterus. </p>
<p>The brain, particularly an area called the hypothalamus, <a href="https://www.ucsfhealth.org/education/the-menstrual-cycle">controls the synchronization</a> of ovarian hormone levels. Although they&#8217;re called “ovarian hormones”, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1210/rp.57.1.357">estrogen</a> And <a href="https://doi.org/10.1210/en.2008-0395">progesterone</a> Receptors are also present throughout the brain. </p>
<p>Estrogen and progesterone <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tem.2022.09.001">have a broad impact</a> on neurons and cellular processes that don&#8217;t have anything to do with reproduction. For example, estrogen plays a task in processes that <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41583-020-0362-7">Memory formation and brain protection</a> from damage. Progesterone helps <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.bpobgyn.2020.06.001">Regulating emotions</a>.</p>
<p>By changing the degrees of those hormones within the brain and body, hormonal contraceptives can modulate mood – for higher or for worse.</p>
<h2>Hormonal contraceptives interact with stress</h2>
<p>Estrogen and progesterone also regulate the stress response – the body’s “fight-or-flight” response to physical or psychological challenges.</p>
<p>The important hormone involved within the stress response – cortisol in humans and corticosterone in rodents, each abbreviated as CORT – is primarily a metabolic hormone, meaning that a rise in blood levels of those hormones under stressful conditions results in more energy being mobilized from fat reserves. The interplay between stress systems and reproductive hormones is an important link between mood and hormonal contraception, as <a href="https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adk6772">Energy regulation</a> is amazingly necessary while pregnant.</p>
<p>So what happens to the stress response of an individual taking hormonal contraceptives? </p>
<p>When faced with a light stressor – for instance, putting your arm in cold water or giving a public speech – women who use hormonal contraceptives show a <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/0306-4530(94)00078-O">lower increase in CORT</a> than in individuals who don&#8217;t take hormonal contraceptives. </p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#56372a"><img decoding="async" alt="Stressed person looking at laptop, resting elbows on surface and holding hands in front of mouth" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/598205/original/file-20240603-17-i7hwzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/598205/original/file-20240603-17-i7hwzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598205/original/file-20240603-17-i7hwzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598205/original/file-20240603-17-i7hwzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598205/original/file-20240603-17-i7hwzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598205/original/file-20240603-17-i7hwzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/598205/original/file-20240603-17-i7hwzx.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Chronic stress can worsen mood.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/photo/stressed-businesswoman-working-on-laptop-at-home-royalty-free-image/1366387953">Vera Livchak/Moment via Getty Images</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>The researchers observed the identical effect in <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yhbeh.2023.105470">Rats and mice</a> – When treated every day with a mix of hormones just like the pill, female rats and mice also show suppression of the stress response.</p>
<h2>Hormonal contraceptives and depression</h2>
<p>Do hormonal contraception increase the chance of depression? The short answer is that it varies from individual to individual. But for most individuals, it&#39;s probably not the case. </p>
<p>It is very important to notice that neither increased nor decreased stress reactions are directly related to <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.psyneuen.2018.11.035">Risk for or resilience to depression</a>But stress is closely linked to mood, and chronic stress <a href="https://www.mayoclinic.org/healthy-lifestyle/stress-management/in-depth/stress/art-20046037">increases significantly</a> Risk of depression. By modifying stress responses, hormonal contraceptives increase the chance of depression following stress, leading to “protection” against depression in many individuals but “increased risk” in a minority. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0412.2011.01333.x">More than 9 out of 10 people</a> Women who use hormonal contraceptives don&#8217;t experience mood swings or depression, and plenty of even experience improvement of their mood. </p>
<p>However, researchers don&#8217;t yet know who can be at increased risk. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpsychires.2013.11.005">Genetic aspects and former stress</a> increase the chance of depression, and evidently <a href="https://doi.org/10.18773/austprescr.2022.025">similar aspects</a> contribute to mood swings related to hormonal contraception.</p>
<p>Currently, hormonal contraceptives are often prescribed <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177%2F17151635231215061">by trying</a> &#8211; If one type causes negative effects in a patient, one other with a distinct dose, delivery method, or formulation may be higher. But the strategy of &#8220;trying things out&#8221; is inefficient and frustrating, and plenty of people surrender relatively than switch to another choice. Identifying the particular aspects that increase the chance of depression and higher communicating the advantages of hormonal contraception beyond contraception may also help patients make more informed decisions about their health care.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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