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	<title>majority &#8211; USA NEWS LIVE</title>
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	<title>majority &#8211; USA NEWS LIVE</title>
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		<title>Chalmers presents a brand new search for the Reserve Bank, with a majority of girls on each boards</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/12/chalmers-presents-a-brand-new-search-for-the-reserve-bank-with-a-majority-of-girls-on-each-boards/</link>
					<comments>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/12/chalmers-presents-a-brand-new-search-for-the-reserve-bank-with-a-majority-of-girls-on-each-boards/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Dec 2024 22:24:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[boards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chalmers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[majority]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[reserve]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=21029</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[An individual with extensive experience within the financial services sector, Marnie Baker, and a distinguished academic economist, Renée Fry-McKibbin, have been appointed to the Reserve Bank&#39;s latest monetary policy board: Treasurer Jim Chalmers also announced 4 latest faces to the bank&#39;s latest board on Monday. Under reforms passed just before this 12 months&#39;s parliamentary elections, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>An individual with extensive experience within the financial services sector, Marnie Baker, and a distinguished academic economist, Renée Fry-McKibbin, have been appointed to the Reserve Bank&#39;s latest monetary policy board:</p>
<p>Treasurer Jim Chalmers also announced 4 latest faces to the bank&#39;s latest board on Monday. </p>
<p>Under reforms passed just before this 12 months&#39;s parliamentary elections, the bank&#39;s latest structure may have two boards of directors as a substitute of the present one. The change follows a comprehensive review of the bank and Chalmers says the brand new structure will represent “international best practice”. </p>
<p>Baker has greater than three a long time of experience within the financial services sector, with a concentrate on retail banking and fund management. She was most recently CEO of Bendigo and Adelaide Bank and deputy chair of the Australian Banking Association. </p>
<p>Renée Fry-McKibbin is a Distinguished Professor of Economics on the Center for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis on the Australian National University and a member of the Academy of Social Sciences.</p>
<p>She was a member of the panel that reviewed the structure of the RBA. Her husband Warwick McKibbin, also a number one economist, was previously a Reserve Bank board member appointed by the Howard government.</p>
<p>The latest members of the Board of Directors are</p>
<ul>
<li>
<p>Jennifer Westacott, former CEO of the Business Council of Australia, currently Chancellor of Western Sydney University.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>David Thodey, former CEO of Telstra and currently Chairman of Xero and Chancellor of the University of Sydney. </p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Danny Gilbert, co-founder and chairman of business law firm Gilbert+Tobin. His board experience includes NAB, the Business Council of Australia and chair of the National Museum of Australia. He is chairman of the Cape York Partnership Group. </p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Swati Dave, an experienced non-executive director and senior banking manager with financial experience in domestic and international markets. She was Managing Director and CEO of Export Finance Australia from 2017 to 2022 and is Chair of the Advisory Board of the Center for Australia-India Relations.</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p>Chalmers said he was “very proud” that girls made up the bulk on each latest boards. </p>
<p>All members of the present board could, in the event that they wished, move to the brand new currency board. </p>
<p>Chalmers said after consultation with board members, Carolyn Hewson, Ian Harper, Iain Ross and Alison Watkins had decided to maneuver to the monetary policy board. Carol Schwartz and Elana Rubin agreed to serve on the board.</p>
<p>“These appointments will ensure continuity across both bodies, in line with the RBA governor’s preference,” Chalmers said. </p>
<p>Board members&#39; terms are staggered &#8220;to ensure that both boards have the right balance of experience and fresh perspectives,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p>Chalmers highlighted his extensive consultation on the appointments, including with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor back in July, when the names Fry-McKibbin and Baker were mentioned to him. </p>
<p>But Taylor said after the announcement that Chalmers had not taken the consultation process with the opposition seriously. “We were clear about the names we provided – we wanted all members of the current board to be transferred to the monetary committee. Jim Chalmers has chosen to ignore this.”</p>
<p>The opposition refused to support the bank restructuring bill and compelled the federal government to make a take care of the Greens.</p>
<p>Chalmers said the appointments were all made on the recommendation of a three-member panel including the finance minister, the governor of the Reserve Bank and a former secretary to the Treasury and the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, Martin Parkinson.</p>
<p>“An open and transparent expression of interest process was undertaken and candidates were shortlisted by the panel. Candidates were shortlisted using a skills matrix to make sure there was the correct mixture of skills and experience across each panels.</p>
<p>“This is the process set out in the RBA review and the government has followed it,” Chalmers said.</p>
<p>The latest committees start on March 1st. The first time the Monetary Policy Committee will consider rates of interest can be the March 31-April 1 meeting.</p>
<hr>
<p><iframe title="Monetary Policy board" aria-label="Table" id="datawrapper-chart-yIKgq" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/yIKgq/1/" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="border: none;" width="100%" height="335" data-external="1"></iframe></p>
<p><iframe title="Governance Board" aria-label="Table" id="datawrapper-chart-SUG51" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/SUG51/1/" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="border: none;" width="100%" height="335" data-external="1"></iframe></p>
<hr>
<p>Each board also includes the RBA Governor and Deputy Governor. The monetary policy panel includes the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the manager panel includes an RBA official.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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		<title>Trump administration cuts could cost Republicans their majority within the House of Representatives</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/08/trump-administration-cuts-could-cost-republicans-their-majority-within-the-house-of-representatives/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Aug 2024 16:55:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cuts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[House]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[majority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Representatives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=13512</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[WASHINGTON — For nearly a decade, former President Donald Trump rallied voters with calls to scale back the dimensions of the federal government and “drain the swamp.” But now a Republican running in a key race for a House seat is attempting to distance himself from the proposed cuts, in addition to Trump&#39;s plans to [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>WASHINGTON — For nearly a decade, former President Donald Trump rallied voters with calls to scale back the dimensions of the federal government and “drain the swamp.”</p>
<p>But now a Republican running in a key race for a House seat is attempting to distance himself from the proposed cuts, in addition to Trump&#39;s plans to remove 100,000 federal employees from the Washington, D.C., Maryland and Virginia region while firing &#8220;renegade bureaucrats&#8221; &#8211; a policy that would cost that region&#39;s economy billions of dollars.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/derrick-anderson-wins-republican-nomination-for-u-s-house-in-virginias-7th-congressional-district/3644624/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Derrick Anderson</a> is the Republican candidate running in a hotly contested race to represent Virginia’s seventh congressional district within the House of Representatives. The district has <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R47716" target="_blank" rel="noopener">almost 60,000 federal employees</a> live there, about 15% of the population. Even more work as federal contractors<strong>.</strong></p>
<p>Anderson said in a press release to CNBC that he would &#8220;oppose any legislation that could weaken national security, increase the cost of living or jeopardize VA-7 jobs, no matter where it comes from.&#8221;</p>
<p>“This is my home district and I will do everything I can to protect it,” he said.</p>
<p>According to the Cook Political Report, Virginia&#39;s seventh Congressional District is one of the competitive House races within the country. But Anderson just isn&#8217;t alone. He is the newest example of how Republican congressional candidates in tough elections are being selective about how they align with Trump and the way they show their independence.</p>
<p>Although Republicans held the bulk within the House of Representatives that yr, their narrow majorities often resulted in chaos, an inability to advance a few of their most significant priorities, and difficulty passing laws that absolutely needed to be passed.</p>
<p>For Republicans to implement their program in 2025, they&#8217;ll must win elections in several districts that supported Biden in 2020. In November of this yr, they&#8217;ll likely support Harris.</p>
<p>Anderson&#39;s opponent is a Democratic candidate <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/army-vet-reported-phone-call-led-trump-impeachment-runs-congress-rcna125529" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Eugene Vindman</a>the dual brother of Alex Vindman, who testified against Trump during his 2019 impeachment trial.</p>
<p>During a visit to Stafford on August 27, during which Vindman went door to door in 90-degree heat, after just a couple of doors he began talking to a self-described “govie,” a government worker who had concerns about a few of Trump’s proposals.</p>
<p>Anderson was supported by Trump. But Vindman <a href="https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/house/VA/07/2024/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">has rather more financial ammunition </a>for the race. As of June 30, Vindman&#39;s campaign had raised $7.5 million, in comparison with just $1.4 million for Anderson.</p>
<p>In addition to relocating 100,000 employees from the world, Trump also desires to make it easier to fireside civil servants and replace them with politically loyal employees as a part of an executive order. <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trump-schedule-f-executive-order-stop-civil-servants-government-rcna128003" target="_blank" rel="noopener">also known as “Schedule F”.</a> This move alone could affect tens of hundreds of federal employees, a lot of them in Virginia-O7.</p>
<p>In Trump’s political plan entitled <a href="https://www.donaldjtrump.com/agenda47/agenda47-president-trumps-plan-to-dismantle-the-deep-state-and-return-power-to-the-american-people" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Agenda 47</a>Trump also presents plans to crack down on “renegade bureaucrats” and “fire all corrupt actors in our national security and intelligence apparatus.”</p>
<p>This hits Vindman hard. He and his brother <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-impeachment-inquiry/vindman-who-provided-key-impeachment-testimony-escorted-white-house-attorney-n1132526" target="_blank" rel="noopener">were each fired</a> from their jobs within the White House following Alexander&#39;s outstanding role within the impeachment proceedings against Trump.</p>
<p>&#8220;It would be devastating for this area,&#8221; said Vindman. &#8220;Fundamentally unfair, but devastating for this area, because we are talking about thousands and tens of thousands [of] pretty well-paying jobs. It would be terrible.&#8221;</p>
<p>If the plan were implemented, it might not only affect federal employees but in addition contractors and other employees within the region, said <a href="https://schar.gmu.edu/profiles/tclower" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Terry Clower</a>Professor at George Mason University and director of the Mason Center for Regional Analysis.</p>
<p>He estimated that for each job the federal government creates in an area, one other 0.6 jobs will likely be created &#8211; that&#8217;s, the lack of 100,000 federal employees would equate to 160,000 jobs. Clower estimated that this projected job loss could cost the state between $27 and $28 billion per yr.</p>
<p>&#8220;If all of these companies left Virginia completely, manufacturing would probably be about 5% of gross domestic product,&#8221; he said. &#8220;That would be a pretty severe recession by modern standards.&#8221;</p>
</div>
<p><em>image credit : www.cnbc.com</em></p>
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		<title>Bay and Iger acquire majority stake value $250 million</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/07/bay-and-iger-acquire-majority-stake-value-250-million/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jul 2024 19:08:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[acquire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[majority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[million]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stake]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[worth]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=9232</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Willow Bay and Bob Iger will acquire a majority stake in Angel City Football Club, the most beneficial skilled women&#39;s sports team on this planet. On Wednesday, Angel City of the National Women&#39;s Soccer League announced that the pair had investment of an undisclosed amount, which puts the team&#39;s value at $250 million. The club [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div id="RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5" data-module="ArticleBody" data-test="articleBody-2" data-analytics="RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2"><span class="HighlightShare-hidden" style="top:0;left:0"></span></p>
<div class="group">
<p>Willow Bay and Bob Iger will acquire a majority stake in Angel City Football Club, the most beneficial skilled women&#39;s sports team on this planet.</p>
<p>On Wednesday, Angel City of the National Women&#39;s Soccer League announced that the pair had <a href="https://angelcity.com/angel-city-football-club-news/angel-city-ownership-agreement-announcement" target="_blank" rel="noopener">investment</a> of an undisclosed amount, which puts the team&#39;s value at $250 million. The club said Bay and Iger will invest a further $50 million within the club&#39;s future growth.</p>
<p>Under NWSL bylaws, majority owners must own no less than 35% of the team, bringing the pair&#39;s purchase price to no less than $87.5 million. Bay will sit on Angel City FC&#39;s board of directors and have full control over it, the team said.</p>
<p>The sale comes at a time when women&#39;s sports and the NWSL are experiencing an explosion in viewership and attendance and are attracting increasing investment.</p>
<p>Last 12 months, Angel City FC generated the best revenue of any women&#39;s team on this planet. The team was also primary in attendance and sponsorship revenue within the NWSL.</p>
<p>&#8220;We know they are the right partners to lead us into this new era. They are committed to further strengthening the ACFC&#39;s position as the preeminent organization and brand in women&#39;s sport and supporting the team&#39;s broader mission, including promoting equality for female athletes and women-founded businesses,&#8221; the ACFC board said in a press release.</p>
</div>
<div class="group">
<p>Angel City FC was founded in 2020 by actress Natalie Portman, enterprise capitalist Kara Nortman and entrepreneur Julie Uhrman.</p>
<p>Owners also include quite a few sports icons, including Billie Jean King, Abby Wambach, Lindsey Vonn and 13 former U.S. Women&#39;s National Team players. The team emphasizes female ownership and equal pay for girls.</p>
<p>Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian was the bulk owner of the club.</p>
<p>The unique ownership structure had created tensions by way of funds and operations. <a href="https://www.wsj.com/sports/soccer/angel-city-nwsl-powerstruggle-9c009842" target="_blank" rel="noopener">According to reports, considered one of the explanations for a sale</a>.</p>
<p>All current owners will remain with the club in the brand new team structure, the club announced on Wednesday.</p>
<p>Bay, who&#8217;s a lifelong sports fan and likewise serves as dean of the USC Annenberg School for Communication and Journalism, said she is committed to furthering the club&#39;s mission of promoting equality on and off the sphere.</p>
<p>“With this investment of resources and capital, we hope to accelerate the growth of the club and the NWSL,” she said in a press release.</p>
</p>
</div>
</div>
<p><em>image credit : www.cnbc.com</em></p>
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		<title>France&#039;s extreme right has its sights set on the bulk for the primary time after the primary round of elections &#8211; that is the way it looks now</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/07/frances-extreme-right-has-its-sights-set-on-the-bulk-for-the-primary-time-after-the-primary-round-of-elections-that-is-the-way-it-looks-now/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Jul 2024 16:16:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extreme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France39s]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[set]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[time]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=8039</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[French voters went to the polls on Sunday for the primary round of early parliamentary electionsFor the primary time, a victory for the far right seems a practical prospect – a rare turnaround for a celebration that held only a handful of seats in parliament until 2022. The far-right Rassemblement National has topped the polls [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>French voters went to the polls on Sunday for the primary round of <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cn087x77g1dt">early parliamentary elections</a>For the primary time, a victory for the far right seems a practical prospect – a rare turnaround for a celebration that held only a handful of seats in parliament until 2022.</p>
<p>The far-right Rassemblement National has topped the polls with greater than 33% of the vote in the primary round (in comparison with 18.7% in 2022). The left-wing New Popular Front alliance is just a couple of percentage points behind in second place with 28% of the vote. And Emmanuel Macron&#39;s centrist Ensemble alliance is languishing in third place with a disappointing 21%. </p>
<p>With this result, the Rassemblement National is on course to change into the strongest faction within the 577-seat National Assembly. However, there stays a high degree of uncertainty about whether the far right can win enough seats to realize a working majority, and even greater uncertainty about what&#8217;s going to occur if it doesn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>The two-round voting system implies that some seats might be a fancy three-way contest within the second round. With the very best turnout in many years, three candidates qualified for the second round, which takes place on July 7, in greater than half of the seats. A number of seats even saw a four-way contest.</p>
<p>The parties at the moment are making tactical decisions about how they need to proceed. All left-wing parties have <a href="https://www.francebleu.fr/infos/politique/legislatives-jean-luc-melenchon-declare-que-les-candidats-lfi-arrives-3e-se-retireront-en-cas-de-triangulaire-avec-le-rn-4574000">specified</a> that they may forego a third-place candidate to avoid splitting the vote and can as an alternative support anyone who stands up against the far right. </p>
<p>The centre parties, alternatively, have <a href="https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2024/07/01/macron-s-coalition-split-over-how-to-block-far-right_6676294_5.html">agreed to support</a> All candidates represent &#8220;republican&#8221; values, but reject the values ​​of the far left and right. These decisions could lead to the far right receiving fewer seats than currently projected.</p>
<p>Adding to the uncertainty, voters now should make tactical decisions for the runoff election. Voters whose preferred candidate is eliminated must resolve whether to support one other candidate or abstain. </p>
<p>Some parties have called on their voters to dam the far right. But the established right-wing party, the Republicans, which received 6.6% of the vote, has <a href="https://www.lopinion.fr/politique/en-recul-les-republicains-refusent-de-donner-une-consigne-de-vote">refused to offer a signal</a> to his electorate.</p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:70.026525198939%;--background-color:#547199"><img decoding="async" alt="A woman walks past a damaged poster of Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/604025/original/file-20240701-19-iojquu.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/604025/original/file-20240701-19-iojquu.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=421&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/604025/original/file-20240701-19-iojquu.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=421&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/604025/original/file-20240701-19-iojquu.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=421&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/604025/original/file-20240701-19-iojquu.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=528&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/604025/original/file-20240701-19-iojquu.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=528&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/604025/original/file-20240701-19-iojquu.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=528&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Election posters on billboards, including French MP and former candidate for the French presidential election, Marine Le Pen, and the leader of the far-right French Front National party, Jordan Bardella.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://epaimages.com/search.pp?flush=1&#038;multikeyword=french%20election&#038;startdate=&#038;enddate=&#038;autocomplete_City=&#038;metadatafield5=&#038;autocomplete_Country=&#038;metadatafield44=&#038;autocomplete_Person=&#038;metadatafield39=">Mohammed Badra/EPA</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>This time, the image is especially confusing. The unexpected announcement of latest elections and the short campaign period (only 20 days) have given the parties only a really short time-frame to barter with other parties and to arrange election campaigns and election manifestos. </p>
<p>The parties of the left formed a surprising, rapid and relatively fragile <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/23/mother-of-all-battles-french-left-join-forces-to-beat-far-right-electoral-threat">alliance</a>The Republicans <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw99g1ez5vjo">divided in two parts</a>with party leader Eric Ciotti and his colleagues allying themselves with the intense right. </p>
<p>Macron’s centrist bloc also appears to be increasingly divided. <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-11/france-election-macron-s-gamble-triggers-chaos-and-anger-inside-his-party">query openly</a> Macron&#39;s smart decision to call elections in the primary place. All these sudden changes inside a celebration system built on shaky sandbanks have left voters confused and perplexed.</p>
<h2>One more round – after which what?</h2>
<p>The thrill doesn&#39;t end with the announcement of the second round results. This only completes the primary act, and plenty of of the largest storylines are still to come back. </p>
<p>If the far right does win a majority, it could have an unprecedented opportunity to act, nevertheless it can be constrained by the structure and the EU and would should work with Macron, who will remain president until 2027 and might be a relentless thorn of their side. </p>
<p>While Macron will proceed to direct foreign policy and have a platform from which to criticize the federal government, the federal government will take the lead in most areas of domestic policy.</p>
<p>A far-right government would probably also should cope with widespread protests that might escalate into violence. Just last summer <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nahel_Merzouk_riots">There were riots</a> triggered by police violence and racial profiling.</p>
<p>The leader of the intense right, Jordan Bardella, has <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/french-far-right-refuses-govern-without-absolute-majority-jordan-bardella/">specified</a> that he doesn&#8217;t need to form a minority government that may be consistently exposed to votes of no confidence. </p>
<p>The other parties are also too small to manipulate alone and appear too divided to work together. The New Popular Front also includes the left-wing Unyielding France party, which detests and is detested by the centrist and right-wing parties.  </p>
<p>A parliament with out a clear majority and a minority government that can&#8217;t find enough allies to attain anything will result in a stalemate. This is the situation the outgoing government was faced with. And the untenability of this scenario is the explanation why the election was called in the primary place. </p>
<p>The key query now is whether or not the credible threat of a far-right government will finally attract the eye of other politicians and compel them to work together as Macron had hoped, putting aside their differences and covering up the deep divisions in French politics and society.</p>
<p>Whether the far right involves power or an unstable minority government emerges, French politics is more likely to remain unstable until the following presidential election in 2027. Macron has taken a giant risk by calling these elections, and there is no such thing as a guarantee that his dangerous gamble pays off.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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		<title>Modi&#039;s BJP alliance prone to win parliamentary majority</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/06/modis-bjp-alliance-prone-to-win-parliamentary-majority/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Jun 2024 15:23:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alliance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BJP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[majority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modi39s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[parliamentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[win]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=5121</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[India&#39;s Prime Minister Narendra Modi is prone to win a rare third consecutive term in office, with local polls on Saturday suggesting his Bharatiya Janata Party-led coalition will win a parliamentary majority. According to a poll by local news channel NDTV, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is anticipated to secure around 365 of the 543 [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>India&#39;s Prime Minister Narendra Modi is prone to win a rare third consecutive term in office, with local polls on Saturday suggesting his Bharatiya Janata Party-led coalition will win a parliamentary majority.</p>
<p>According to a poll by local news channel NDTV, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is anticipated to <a href="https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/exit-poll-results-2024-live-updates-india-election-voting-in-6-week-lok-sabha-election-ends-over-to-exit-polls-5793719#pfrom=home-ndtvelex_elections2021_topstories" target="_blank" rel="noopener">secure around 365 of the 543 seats</a> within the House of Commons. The party or coalition that receives no less than 272 votes will form the federal government. The final results, expected on Tuesday, may differ from the post-election poll forecasts.</p>
<p>If the exit polls, whose results are relatively patchy, are confirmed, Modi will serve one other five years because the country&#39;s prime minister &#8211; a position he has held since 2014.</p>
<p>The Indian election, the world&#39;s largest democratic election by which nearly a billion eligible voters participated, took place in seven phases over the past six weeks, starting on April 19. There are a complete of 543 contested seats within the lower house, and the party or coalition that receives no less than 272 votes will form the federal government.</p>
<p>Under Modi’s ten-year rule, India experienced robust economic growth and a leap in its global status. India, which is home to 1.4 billion people, has <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/mi/research-analysis/india-seizes-crown-of-fastest-growing-g20-economy-dec23.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">one among the fastest growing economies</a> on the planet, growing by 7.2% within the 2022-2023 financial 12 months, exceeding the <a href="https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2024/01/how-india-can-seize-its-moment-to-become-the-world-s-third-largest-economy/#:~:text=The%20country's%20growth%20rate%20of,the%20face%20of%20global%20challenges." target="_blank" rel="noopener">second highest growth rate among the many G20 countries</a>. The <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/04/16/global-economy-remains-resilient-despite-uneven-growth-challenges-ahead" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Projects of the International Monetary Fund</a> that India’s economy will grow by 6.8% in 2024 and 6.5% in 2025, in comparison with <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/imf-upgrades-chinas-2024-2025-gdp-growth-forecasts-after-strong-q1-2024-05-29/#:~:text=The%20IMF%20said%20it%20had,slow%20to%204.5%25%20in%202025." target="_blank" rel="noopener">China is forecast to grow by 5% in 2024 and 4.5% in 2025.</a></p>
<p>Some economists are much more optimistic. &#8220;The bigger you get, the harder it is to sustain a very high level of growth, but I think 7-7.5 percent growth is possible,&#8221; Sujan Hajra, chief economist at Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers, told CNBC, adding that improving infrastructure might be a giant priority to spice up growth.</p>
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<p>&#8220;Soft infrastructure, such as improving the country&#39;s health network, will be given much more emphasis this time than hard infrastructure because a lot of work has already been done here,&#8221; Harja said.</p>
<p>In the <a href="https://www.bjp.org/bjp-manifesto-2024" target="_blank" rel="noopener">BJP is clearly</a> For the approaching term, Modi promised that his government would make India one among the world&#39;s three largest economies, aggressively fight poverty, open up recent avenues for growth and fight corruption. </p>
<p>Despite international politicians&#39; optimism about India&#39;s growth trajectory under Modi&#39;s rule, observers and critics warn that the prime minister&#39;s third term could bring further signs of democratic backsliding. He has also been accused <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/india-modi-accused-hate-speech-calling-muslims-infiltrators-rcna148916" target="_blank" rel="noopener">of hate speech for calling Muslims “infiltrators”</a>&#8221; at a rally a few days after the election began. The religious divide in India remained a hot topic during the election, as did unemployment. </p>
<p>According to a survey by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, unemployment was the biggest concern for 27 percent of the 10,000 respondents. More than half (62 percent) of respondents also said that it had become more difficult to find a job in the last five years during Modi&#39;s second term.</p>
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<p>Modes <a href="https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/pm-modi-says-nda-will-get-400-plus-seats-terms-opposition-rudderless-101710594178759.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">According to reports</a> In March, he said he was confident the BJP and the broader National Democratic Alliance would win a combined 400 seats, but analysts say that&#8217;s unlikely to matter much so long as he stays near the 303 seats he won in 2019.</p>
<p>“The outlook for the Indian equity market is nevertheless very positive as we have seen the kind of progress and efficiency it has been able to achieve from a governance perspective since 2019 with 303 seats,” said Malcolm Dorson, senior portfolio manager and head of emerging markets strategy at Global X ETFs.</p>
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<p><em>image credit : www.cnbc.com</em></p>
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		<title>Tasmanians voted in a parliament with no majority.  What now?</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/04/tasmanians-voted-in-a-parliament-with-no-majority-what-now/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[enzo2go]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Apr 2024 21:48:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[majority]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Parliament]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tasmanians]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[voted]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=1827</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The votes have been forged, however the wild race to form Tasmania&#39;s next government has only just begun. Although results are usually not expected to be known for just a few weeks, voters within the island nation haven&#8217;t given either Labor or the Liberals the 18 seats within the House of Commons needed to form [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>The votes have been forged, however the wild race to form Tasmania&#39;s next government has only just begun. </p>
<p>Although results are usually not expected to be known for just a few weeks, voters within the island nation haven&#8217;t given either Labor or the Liberals the 18 seats within the House of Commons needed to form a majority government.  Overall, there was a major swing against the Liberal government, with the Greens and the Jacqui Lambie Network (JLN) more likely to be the foremost beneficiaries.</p>
<p>The Liberals are expected to secure probably the most seats in Tasmania&#39;s next parliament.  Prime Minister Jeremy Rockliff <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-23/tas-state-election-results-live-blog/103619024">explained it</a> “the fourth victory in a row” for the Liberal Party. </p>
<p>However, it stays to be seen whether or not they can secure the support of the three or 4 crossbenchers they should form a government.  What is evident is that negotiations to form the subsequent Tasmanian government will take days and even weeks. </p>
<hr>
<hr>
<h2>What do the numbers show up to now?</h2>
<p>The next parliament is anticipated to consist of 14 Liberals, 10 from Labor, 4 Greens, two from the JLN and two independents &#8211; with the remaining three seats too close together to be announced.  Final numbers can be confirmed once preferences have been distributed.</p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#4f312e"><img decoding="async" alt="A man in a blue T-shirt stands between other men in blue T-shirts." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/583812/original/file-20240323-24-gg6ozo.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/583812/original/file-20240323-24-gg6ozo.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583812/original/file-20240323-24-gg6ozo.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583812/original/file-20240323-24-gg6ozo.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583812/original/file-20240323-24-gg6ozo.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583812/original/file-20240323-24-gg6ozo.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583812/original/file-20240323-24-gg6ozo.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Former Tasmanian senator Eric Abetz was easily elected to a state seat within the Franklin constituency.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><span class="source">Ethan James/AAP</span></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>As expected, many Tasmanians turned away from the 2 major parties.  The pre-election swing against the Liberal government appears to be around 12%, but Labor appears to have gained lower than 1% nationally.  Almost 34% of voters selected smaller parties and independents.  It was a very strong result for the Greens, who&#8217;ve a probability of grabbing the last remaining seats in at the least three constituencies. </p>
<p>The JLN may not have performed in addition to expected.  The lack of a &#8220;leading candidate&#8221; in each seat meant that their candidates were stealing votes from one another. </p>
<p>Both MPs who quit the Liberal Party last 12 months &#8211; prompting Rockliff to call an election &#8211; did not win back their seats as independents.</p>
<p>All of this implies the means of forming Tasmania&#39;s next government is more likely to be stuffed with twists and controversies.</p>
<hr>
<hr>
<h2>What now?</h2>
<p>During the campaign, each Labor and the Liberals ruled out offering ministries or policy concessions to the independents, the JLN or the Greens in return for his or her support.  Now it may very well be that they back down and sit down on the negotiating table as an alternative.</p>
<p>In their speeches late Saturday evening, the 2 heads of state and government struck significantly different tones. </p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#582f45"><img decoding="async" alt="A woman in a pink blazer gives a speech behind a lectern." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/583835/original/file-20240323-28-lmnlum.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/583835/original/file-20240323-28-lmnlum.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583835/original/file-20240323-28-lmnlum.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583835/original/file-20240323-28-lmnlum.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583835/original/file-20240323-28-lmnlum.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583835/original/file-20240323-28-lmnlum.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583835/original/file-20240323-28-lmnlum.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Tasmanian Labor leader Rebecca White didn&#8217;t admit defeat in her election night speech.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><span class="source">Rob Blackers/AAP</span></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>Rockliff claimed victory, optimistically declaring that &#8220;Tasmanians did not vote for a change of government&#8221; and that he would try to lead a minority Liberal government.  This would mean the continuation of the unstable situation that he sought to avoid with the election, depending on how faction members view his acceptance of the Liberals&#39; right to continued rule.  Some from the Liberal Party <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-14/jacqui-lambie-slams-liberals-over-website/103581992">tactics</a> They won&#8217;t have endeared themselves to crossbenchers – particularly those from the JLN – throughout the election campaign.</p>
<p>Rebecca White didn&#8217;t admit defeat, but was more conciliatory.  She acknowledged that a minority government was more likely to be the norm in Tasmania, saying: &#8220;Labour will be ready to work with Parliament to deliver our agenda.&#8221; […] if that&#8217;s the need of the people.”  </p>
<p>It&#39;s all a bit ambiguous &#8211; will she sit on the crossbench and check out to cobble together a coalition?  There have been rumors throughout the evening from journalists that it is a possibility, but nothing has been confirmed yet.  Given that Labor may only find yourself with ten seats, they would wish the support of eight crossbenchers, which can be no easy task. </p>
<hr>
<hr>
<p>Adding further spice is the likelihood that each leaders could have to face challenges from inside their very own ranks. </p>
<p>Labor&#39;s little or no improvement on its disappointing 2021 result can be a priority for party strategists, despite there being no obvious successor to White.  Rockliff claimed he was &#8220;just getting started&#8221; but might secretly be concerned about former federal senator Eric Abetz&#39;s rapid entry into the Tasmanian parliament. </p>
<p>In the ABC&#39;s reporting, Abetz was quick to indicate the swing against the Liberals and emphasize the necessity for the party to review a few of its policies and decisions.  </p>
<h2>And for the nation?</h2>
<p>Tasmania&#39;s 2024 election has us occupied with just a few things ahead of the subsequent federal election. </p>
<p>Tasmania&#39;s recent parliament is just the most recent evidence of two-party dominance <a href="https://search.informit.org/doi/pdf/10.3316/informit.136288830999916">subsides</a> throughout Australia. </p>
<p>It&#39;s true that Tasmania <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-04-21/hare-clark-electoral-system-explained/100062736">Hare-Clark voting system</a> makes it easier for independents and smaller party candidates to get elected.  However, the poor Liberal and Labor primaries will worry federal party strategists who hoped the 2022 Teal Bath can be an isolated incident. </p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#4f90b0"><img decoding="async" alt="A woman in front of a glass window smiles at the camera" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/583837/original/file-20240323-26-a0loka.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/583837/original/file-20240323-26-a0loka.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583837/original/file-20240323-26-a0loka.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583837/original/file-20240323-26-a0loka.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583837/original/file-20240323-26-a0loka.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583837/original/file-20240323-26-a0loka.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/583837/original/file-20240323-26-a0loka.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Tasmanian Greens leader Rosalie Woodruff was pleased with the swing in her party&#39;s favour.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><span class="source">Rob Blackers/AAP</span></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>Bridget Archer and Andrew Wilkie will certainly take comfort within the result, which saw authentic, independent-minded candidates perform well.  It can be clear that Labor in regional Tasmania still has numerous work to do in the event that they need to keep Lyons and win back Braddon.  </p>
<p>The results of the state elections weren&#8217;t at all times one of the best indicator of the end result of the federal elections.  But that doesn&#39;t mean national party strategists will ignore what happened in each of Tasmania&#39;s five seats. </p>
<p>Another simmering issue is fixed parliamentary terms of office.  Independent and <a href="https://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Joint/Electoral_Matters/2019Federalelection/Report/section?id=committees%2Freportjnt%2F024439%2F75701">smaller parties</a> often argue that “early” elections put them at an obstacle because they lack the continuing resources and campaign apparatus of the main parties.  Rockliff&#39;s early election call <a href="https://www.themercury.com.au/news/tasmania/parties-candidates-using-ai-to-help-them-gain-an-advantage-in-2024-tasmanian-election/news-story/1954579a993971d5e30d9de1a1c333da">caused grumbling</a> To that end, independents and smaller parties in Tasmania said they felt cheated at running out of time to arrange. </p>
<p>All other states and territories have temporary parliaments.  If the fallout from the Tasmanian election sparks further debate on the problem, this may very well be the case <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-07-24/why-would-we-want-four-year-fixed-term-elections/8736832">rekindle</a> the problem on the federal level.</p>
<p>But first let&#39;s hope the main parties swallow their pride, accept that they&#8217;ve did not persuade Tasmanians of the necessity for majority government and negotiate a take care of the crossbench.  This would reflect respect for the democratic will of the Tasmanian people and exhibit a willingness to depart politics behind and as an alternative address the state&#39;s many challenges.</p>
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<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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