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	<title>elections &#8211; USA NEWS LIVE</title>
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		<title>Two surveys forecast a banging victory for working within the WA elections, the primary with a reformed top house</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2025/03/two-surveys-forecast-a-banging-victory-for-working-within-the-wa-elections-the-primary-with-a-reformed-top-house/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Mar 2025 01:13:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[banging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=25780</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Western Australian elections will happen on Saturday, whereby the surveys are closed at 9 p.m. AEDT. A PollPerformed from February 27 to March 5 of a sample of 1,061, Labor gave a 1.5-point profit for staff since a WA newspolle. Primary votes were 44% staff (as much as two), 29% liberals (three), 5% residents [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>The Western Australian elections will happen on Saturday, whereby the surveys are closed at 9 p.m. AEDT. A <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/liberals-fail-to-make-inroads-into-roger-cooks-lead-at-wa-election/news-story/e8a1567b1bcf9b56dcc59fd711f18f18">Poll</a>Performed from February 27 to March 5 of a sample of 1,061, Labor gave a 1.5-point profit for staff since a WA newspolle.</p>
<p>Primary votes were 44% staff (as much as two), 29% liberals (three), 5% residents (as much as two), 10% Greens (down two), 3% one nation (down one) and 9% for everybody else (as much as two).</p>
<p>Labor Premier Roger Cook&#39;s net permit was one point to +17, 55% met and 38% dissatisfied. The Liberal Leader Libby Mettam&#39;s NORD ANOWERS rose by three to +1. Cook LED as a greater premier around 53–34 (54–34 before).</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/03/07/newspoll-57-5-42-5-to-labor-in-wa-demosau-57-43/">Poll Bludger reported on Friday</a> Labor gave a head start of 57–43 that a Demosau survey for the West Australian was carried out by a sample of 1,126 from March 4 to five. The primary votes were 43% staff, 30% liberals, 5% residents, 11% Greens and 11% for everybody else. Cook LED as a preferred premier via Mettam of 47–32. The voters thought around 49–31, was in the fitting direction.</p>
<p>On <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Western_Australian_state_election">March 2021 WA election</a>Labor won 53 of the 59 seats of the lower house with a two -party coordination of 69.7–30.3, a record high for a big party in every state or for national elections. Labor won 59.9% of the first votes.</p>
<p>Labor would never match the results of 2021 on this election, but when the outcomes on Saturday reflect the time Poll and Demosau surveys, they may surpass their <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Western_Australian_state_election">2017 result</a>won as Labor 41 of the 59 seats with a two-party vote of 55.5–44.5.</p>
<h2>Reforms of the upper house</h2>
<p>Before this election, WA had six Oberhaus regions, wherein six members were returned. Of the <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/wa/2021/guide/lc-preview">ABC&#39;s election pages of 2021 WA</a>There were three regions of Perth and three non-metro regions. Perth had 75% of the enrolled voters of WA, but only 50% of the upper house seats.</p>
<p>In addition, the mining and pastoral region and the agricultural region had far less enrolled voters than the Southwest region. In these two regions, only 10.1% of the enrolled voters of WA, but 33.3% of the upper house seats.</p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#4e372a"><img decoding="async" alt="A wooden parliamentary chamber with people sitting on sitting in a horseshoe shape" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/653711/original/file-20250306-56-hc3q5z.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/653711/original/file-20250306-56-hc3q5z.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653711/original/file-20250306-56-hc3q5z.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653711/original/file-20250306-56-hc3q5z.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653711/original/file-20250306-56-hc3q5z.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653711/original/file-20250306-56-hc3q5z.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653711/original/file-20250306-56-hc3q5z.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">The Western Australian Legislative Council is not going to be sorted by the region from this election.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://photos.aap.com.au/search/%2020170511001305569933">Richard Wainwright/AAP</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>Labor&#39;s huge victory in 2021 gave them a majority within the upper house for the primary time within the history of the WA, 22 of the 36 seats. Labor used this chance to convert the Oberhaus into A <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/wa/2025/guide/preview">individual nationwide electorate</a> This returns 37 members through proportional representation with optional voters.</p>
<p>According to those reforms, an election rate is 1/38 of the votes or 2.63%. Parties that win about half of the quota have an inexpensive probability of winning a seat. 1.3% might be enough to win. Labor also accomplished the group ticket vote (GTV) and left Victoria the one Australian jurisdiction that this discredited system continues to be used.</p>
<p>The survey that Bludger reported on February 23 <a href="https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/02/23/western-australian-election-minus-two-weeks-2/">Libby Mettam has promised to attempt to return</a> For the old very painted system, when the liberals win the alternative and let go of the principle of a vote. The old system was biased on the liberal and national parties. analyst <a href="https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/02/wa-liberals-threaten-to-bring-back.html">Kevin Bonham condemned the liberals</a>.</p>
<p>ABC voting analyst <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/wa-2025-summary-of-parties-and-candidates/">Antony Green said there have been 13 groups</a> on the upper house ballot and a complete of 146 candidates. To bring a gaggle box over the road, not less than five candidates were required for this group. The variety of candidates was greater than halved from 2021 when there have been 325 Oberhaus candidates. The coordination of the group cards promoted a distribution of micropartes and candidates.</p>
<p>There will probably be a complete of 398 candidates for the 59 seats within the lower house, from 463 in 2021. Labor, the liberals and the Greens will contest all seats, the Nationals will compete 20, the Australian Christians 54 and a nation 41.</p>
<h2>Labor has a giant lead in a SA -State survey</h2>
<p>The next election of the South Australian state will happen in March 2026. A. <a href="https://demosau.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/DemosAU-SA-VI-Poll-Feb-18-23-2025.pdf">Demosau survey</a>Performed from February 18 to 23 from a sample of 1.004, Labor gave a 59–41 lead (54.6–45.4, within the elections in March 2022 Labor). Primary votes were 43% staff, 30% liberals, 10% green and 17% for everybody else.</p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#5b422b"><img decoding="async" alt="A man&#39;s side profile in a suit" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/653715/original/file-20250306-68-lzt4sp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/653715/original/file-20250306-68-lzt4sp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653715/original/file-20250306-68-lzt4sp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653715/original/file-20250306-68-lzt4sp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653715/original/file-20250306-68-lzt4sp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653715/original/file-20250306-68-lzt4sp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/653715/original/file-20250306-68-lzt4sp.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">The South Australian Prime Minister Peter Malinauskas is ahead within the surveys.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://photos.aap.com.au/search/20241010119213863571">Bianca de Marchi/AAP</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>The reigning Laboramt owners Peter Malinauskas led the liberal Vincent Tarzia as the popular premier of 51–23. The voters thought around 53–33 that Sat was in the fitting direction.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/03/03/demosau-59-41-to-labor-in-south-australia/">Poll Bludger reported on Monday</a> Election reforms have passed the parliament with which the election night after post and pre-poll votes will be counted. In earlier SA elections, only votes that got at the traditional election day stands were counted on the election night, with other forms of votes lasting not less than just a few days to count.</p>
<p>In the federal a part of this survey, the work listed by 53–47 in SA (54.0–46.0 as much as Labor in SA within the national elections 2022) was cited. The primary votes were 35% coalition, 34% staff, 11% green, 6% one nation and 14% for everybody else. Anthony Albanese led Peter Dutton with 39 to 33 as the popular prime minister and didn&#8217;t consider that Australia was led in the fitting direction.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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		<title>San Mateo Court rejects the offer from Sheriff Corpus to dam special elections on March 4th</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2025/02/san-mateo-court-rejects-the-offer-from-sheriff-corpus-to-dam-special-elections-on-march-4th/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Feb 2025 07:24:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[4th]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[block]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corpus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Court]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[March]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mateo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[offer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rejects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sheriff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[special]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=25308</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A judge of the district of San Mateo has the best way to come to a decision whether the supervisory authority must have the authority to remove the sheriff, released, released and a provisional judgment on Wednesday, February 26. Sheriff Christina Corpus, which is accused of corruption and misconduct within the work palle, stipulated a [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img decoding="async" src="https://www.mercurynews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/SJM-L-SHERIFFCHAOS-1114-4.jpg?w=1400px&amp;strip=all" /></p>
<div>
<p>A judge of the district of San Mateo has the best way to come to a decision whether the supervisory authority must have the authority to remove the sheriff, released, released and a provisional judgment on Wednesday, February 26.</p>
<p>Sheriff Christina Corpus, which is accused of corruption and misconduct within the work palle, stipulated a petition on January 10 in front of the San Mateo Supreme Court to dam the Measure A from the ballot paper on March 4, and argued that the measure was illegal. However, the court decided that the alternative was as planned.</p>
<p>“The problem before the court is a narrower. The Court of Justice does not deal with the methodology, substance, merits or findings of the report, which judge Ladoris Cordell (RET) submitted to the board, and the court also does not make any statements or decisions about the allegations mentioned therein, ”wrote judge of San Mateo, Nicole Heale, in her preliminary decision. &#8220;Rather, this decision is only based on the question of whether the special elections for March 4, 2025 should be as planned.&#8221;</p>
<aside class="related left"></aside>
<p>Unless it&#8217;s controversial, the judgment becomes the ultimate order of the court.</p>
<p>Corpus didn&#8217;t answer the request of this news organization whether she was planning to query the choice.</p>
<p>The judge also said that he couldn&#8217;t choose the prejudices of Corpus by the board.</p>
<p>&#8220;After the&#8221; separation of the powers doctrine &#8220;, the courts cannot ask for the impulse or the motif for legislative measures,&#8221; said Healy in her judgment. &#8220;Whether the exercise of legislative powers, a board of directors acts carefully or unclear, is not a concern of the courts&#8221;, &#8220;</p>
<p>The district of the district of San Mateo, John Nibbelin, said he expected the decision.</p>
<p>&#8220;From the start we expected that the court agreed that the district was properly placed for measurement A for the ballot paper for the special elections on March 4, 2025,&#8221; said Nibbelin. “We look forward to this result. We believe that the decision of the sheriff not to question the preliminary judgment, reflect the strength of the legal position of the district and the care with which judge Healy prepared its decision. &#8220;</p>
<p>Corpus was increasingly checked whether misconduct, corruption and an inappropriate relationship with its former chief of staff Victor Aenlle. Despite the demands for her resignation of Sheriff&#39;s Captains, union members, six cities in San Mateo County and congress leaders, she refused to step down.</p>
<p>In response to this, the supervisory authority of the San Mateo district passed a Charter change from the district districts, which might give them the authority to temporarily remove a sheriff from office.</p>
<p>The verdict comes since the election is already good and the ballot papers are distributed to greater than 440,000 voters. On Wednesday at 4:30 p.m., the electoral office of the San Mateo district received 72,476 ballots, while 192 voters had sold their ballot papers in coordination centers. The last election day is March 4th.</p>
<p>According to election officers within the district, the special elections cost taxpayers a minimum of 3.8 million dollars.</p>
<p>If the measurement of a passport and the office of the sheriff becomes free, the supervisory board has several options: If you immediately appoint a brand new sheriff, provide public interviews before choosing a substitute or call a special alternative.</p>
<p>If the board doesn&#8217;t act inside 30 days, the election officer must call an election. A spokesman for the district previously said that the superiors had not yet decided whether or not they would appoint a successor or hold a special election.</p>
<p>If the measure fails, Corpus could proceed to confront the efforts to remove, including an investigation by the civil jury or a recall alternative. The supervisory authorities previously discussed these options after they censored them and demanded their resignation in November 2024.</p>
<p>Corpus has biased Cordell&#39;s examination and rejected politically motivated. She didn&#8217;t answer what she desires to do when measuring a passport.</p>
<p>There is not any provision within the district chart or within the state election code that forestalls corpus from running again for sheriff.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : www.mercurynews.com</em></p>
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		<title>The German President dissolves parliament for brand new elections on February twenty third</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/12/the-german-president-dissolves-parliament-for-brand-new-elections-on-february-twenty-third/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Dec 2024 16:42:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[23rd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dissolves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[February]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[German]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Parliament]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[president]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=21768</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[President Frank-Walter Steinmeier dissolved Germany&#39;s lower house on Friday to pave the way in which for early elections on February 23 after Chancellor Olaf Scholz&#39;s three-party coalition failed. “Especially in difficult times like these, stability requires an effective government and reliable majorities in parliament,” which is why early elections are the appropriate path for Germany, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>President Frank-Walter Steinmeier dissolved Germany&#39;s lower house on Friday to pave the way in which for early elections on February 23 after Chancellor Olaf Scholz&#39;s three-party coalition failed.</p>
<p>“Especially in difficult times like these, stability requires an effective government and reliable majorities in parliament,” which is why early elections are the appropriate path for Germany, said Steinmeier in Berlin. </p>
<p>After the election, problem solving must turn out to be the core business of politics again, Steinmeier added in a speech.</p>
<p>The president, whose post-war office was largely ceremonial in nature, also called for fair and transparent conduct of the election campaign. </p>
<p>“External influence represents a danger to democracy, whether it is covert, as was obviously the case recently in the Romanian elections, or open and blatant, as is currently being practiced particularly intensively on the (social media) platform X.” he said.</p>
<p>Scholz, a Social Democrat who will lead an interim government until a brand new one may be formed, lost a confidence vote in parliament earlier this month after Finance Minister Christian Lindner&#39;s Free Democrats left his unwieldy governing coalition with no legislative majority.</p>
<p>The vote was also the beginning of a serious election campaign. Conservative challenger Friedrich Merz, who polls show is probably going to interchange Scholz, claimed the incumbent government had introduced excessive regulations and stifled growth.</p>
<p>In most polls, the Conservatives have a snug lead of greater than 10 points over the Social Democrats (SPD). The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is just ahead of the SPD, while its coalition partner the Greens is in fourth place.</p>
<p>Mainstream parties have refused to manipulate with the AfD, but its presence complicates parliamentary arithmetic and makes shaky coalitions more likely.</p>
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<p><em>image credit : www.cnbc.com</em></p>
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		<title>There is pro-business continuity in Irish elections despite voter dissatisfaction</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/12/there-is-pro-business-continuity-in-irish-elections-despite-voter-dissatisfaction/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Dec 2024 16:54:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[continuity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dissatisfaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irish]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probusiness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[voter]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=20182</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Ireland&#39;s election looks set to have secured victory for the incumbent centre-right parties which have dominated the country&#39;s politics for nearly a century. This signals continuity for the business community, but belies the overall dissatisfaction with many social issues. Fianna Fáil, led by Micheál Martin, and Fine Gael, led by Simon Harris, By midday on [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>Ireland&#39;s election looks set to have secured victory for the incumbent centre-right parties which have dominated the country&#39;s politics for nearly a century. This signals continuity for the business community, but belies the overall dissatisfaction with many social issues.</p>
<p>Fianna Fáil, led by Micheál Martin, and Fine Gael, led by Simon Harris, <a href="https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/elections-2024/health-minister-stephen-donnelly-loses-seat-in-wicklow-as-recounts-underway-in-multiple-constituencies/a1651848310.html" target="_blank">By midday on Monday it seemed possible to form</a> a coalition that falls just wanting a parliamentary majority within the 174-seat Dáil and is widely expected to hunt the support of 1 or two smaller opposition parties to form a government.</p>
<p>A key query shall be who takes on the role of Taoiseach, Ireland&#39;s leader, as Harris currently holds that role but Fianna Fáil will develop into the larger party. One possibility is a repeat of the rotating power-sharing agreement the 2 parties previously negotiated in 2020, after they <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/14/ireland-fine-gael-fianna-fail-close-forming-coalition-government" target="_blank">initially joined a coalition</a>.</p>
<p>Friday&#39;s vote brought some surprising losses for high-profile names, together with disappointment for former coalition member the Greens, who retained just one among 12 seats, and challenger Sinn Féin, who&#8217;re expected to extend the variety of TDs (parliamentarians) from Fine Gael will achieve. , but doesn&#8217;t appear to be ready to start out its own coalition negotiations. Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael have <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgk1v3g8yn0o" target="_blank">ruled out a partnership</a> with the left-wing party.</p>
<p>The result &#8220;breaks with the trend of weaker election results for incumbents seen around the world this year,&#8221; analysts at investment firm Davy said in a note.</p>
<p>“The only surprise is that there was no surprise. The electorate has said we want the same thing, or at least that is the result of the election,” Laurent Muzellec, dean of Trinity Business School in Dublin, told CNBC by phone.</p>
<p>“However, underlying this is a frustration among a growing proportion of the Irish population that was not captured in this election. It appears that Sinn Féin has not grasped this sense of frustration, as evidenced by the fact that there were few voters.&#8221; &#8220;When you talk to people you get a different feeling than the result suggests,&#8221; continued Muzellec.</p>
<p>Chief among these problems is the country&#39;s severe housing crisis, which has led to a rise in homelessness, particularly in the capital Dublin, said Muzellec.</p>
<p>Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael have made some commitments to increase housing supply, but due to the nature of repeated coalition building, it is not known exactly which elements of a manifesto will be implemented in the future, Muzellec noted.</p>
<p>Some of this dissatisfaction may have been expressed in this <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/30/ireland-voters-exit-poll-fianna-fail-fine-gael-simon-harris-sinn-fein" target="_blank">Leave surveys</a> in which just 27% named Fine Gael&#39;s Harris as their preferred leader, compared to 35% for Fianna Fáil&#39;s Martin and 34% for Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald.</p>
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<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle"><a id="headline0"></a>Business advantage</h2>
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<p>Economists have questioned whether the country faces an economic threat from Donald Trump&#39;s re-election in the US, as he threatens sweeping universal tariffs and a protectionist &#8220;America first&#8221; stance.</p>
<p>“Of all euro zone members, Ireland is by far the most vulnerable to a loss of U.S. trade,” economists Andrew Kenningham and Jack Allen-Reynolds of Capital Economics said in a note last month.</p>
<p>According to the research group, US demand accounts for around 1.5% of economic activity within the euro zone and 1.7% in Germany, in comparison with 7% in Ireland. Ireland sends “a disproportionate share of its exports to the USA”.</p>
<p>“The economy could also be affected by US corporate tax cuts if they persuade US-based multinational companies to relocate their operations from Ireland back to the US. However, we remain optimistic about Ireland’s economic prospects given its other strengths,” the economists continued.</p>
<p>The latest election result confirms that there isn&#8217;t a significant political movement in Ireland calling for its own protectionist move away from the very open economy, Laurent Muzellec of Trinity Business School told CNBC.</p>
<p>This is an indication that it&#8217;s “still a good place to do business, still open to global companies and as business-friendly as it has been in the last 30 or 40 years,” he said.</p>
<p>While the Trump presidency could influence corporations&#39; decisions about where to locate in the longer term, particularly within the pharmaceutical industry where manufacturing facilities are at stake, it is extremely unlikely that there shall be any exodus, Muzellec continued.</p>
<p>“The big companies were originally here for tax reasons, but now they are established with thousands of employees,” he said. “Many of these jobs are in sales and customer service for EMEA [Europe, Middle East and Africa] So you have to stay in Europe. So if they left Ireland, where would they go? The UK is no longer part of the European Union, France is politically unstable – their other options are limited.”</p>
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<p><em>image credit : www.cnbc.com</em></p>
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		<title>How the style industry is using its cultural influence within the US elections &#8211; and why it matters</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/11/how-the-style-industry-is-using-its-cultural-influence-within-the-us-elections-and-why-it-matters/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Nov 2024 17:44:16 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cultural]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fashion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[influence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[matters]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=18368</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The fashion industry is mobilizing its marketing machine to encourage Americans to vote in November&#39;s presidential election, and it&#39;s clear they need Kamala Harris to win. Industry involvement within the race for the White House has increased since 2016, when US Vogue endorsed Hilary Clinton. That was that For the primary time In its 100-year [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>The fashion industry is mobilizing its marketing machine to encourage Americans to vote in November&#39;s presidential election, and it&#39;s clear they need Kamala Harris to win.</p>
<p>Industry involvement within the race for the White House has increased since 2016, when US Vogue endorsed Hilary Clinton. That was that <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-38287698">For the primary time</a> In its 100-year history, the style bible had thrown its weight behind a presidential candidate.   </p>
<p>In this 12 months&#39;s tight and polarized contest between Harris and former President Donald Trump, fashion designers and types are stepping up bolder and even louder to make sure the current vp becomes &#8220;47&#8221; &#8211; a numerical nickname for the forty seventh President of the United States. These policy interventions are significant because they show that the style industry is able to use its cultural influence to guide consumer behavior and advance social responsibility.</p>
<figure class="align-right ">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:79.74683544303798%;--background-color:#272a4d"><img decoding="async" alt="A black sweatshirt with the words “Kamala 47 We Are Not Going Back.”" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/628704/original/file-20241029-15-xslva8.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=237&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/628704/original/file-20241029-15-xslva8.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=478&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628704/original/file-20241029-15-xslva8.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=478&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628704/original/file-20241029-15-xslva8.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=478&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628704/original/file-20241029-15-xslva8.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=601&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628704/original/file-20241029-15-xslva8.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=601&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628704/original/file-20241029-15-xslva8.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=601&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Designers have capitalized on one among the important thing slogans of Kamala Harris&#39; 2024 campaign.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><span class="source">Amazon</span>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/">CC BY-SA</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>At the beginning of New York Fashion Week in September, Anna Wintour, editor-in-chief of US Vogue, said: <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@thenewsmovement/video/7411635364059696427">led a march and rally</a> in the town&#39;s Herald Square to encourage Americans to vote for his or her next president. The <a href="https://cfda.com/news/cfda-and-vogue-join-forces-for-fashion-for-our-future">&#8220;unprecedented&#8221;</a> The event was organized by Vogue and the Council of Fashion Designers of America (CFDA).</p>
<p>Wintour was joined by greater than 1,000 people, including models, designers and influencers. Dressed alike in white T-shirts with the slogan “Fashion for our Future,” participants’ call for Americans to take part in the democratic process seemed neutral enough. The CFDA described the event as <a href="https://cfda.com/news/cfda-and-vogue-join-forces-for-fashion-for-our-future">“non-partisan”</a>. </p>
<p>The reality was completely different. Two months ago, <a href="https://www.vogue.com/article/vogue-endorsement-kamala-harris">Vogue had publicly supported Harris</a> for president after Joe Biden suddenly withdrew from the race. The New York event was an try to drum up support for her campaign.</p>
<p>In case of doubt, Wintour was accompanied by the First Lady of the United States. Dr. Jill Biden wears one other slogan T-shirt <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/2024/09/07/new-york-fashion-week-wintour-jill-biden-nyfw/">spoke of her appreciation for Wintour</a>: “No one has shaped this industry more than you… But you haven’t stopped there.” Now shape the world. The President and I value your advice and friendship.”  </p>
<p>The influence of Wintour and US Vogue was evident a month later when the October 2024 digital issue of Vogue featured Kamala Harris in a photograph shoot with Annie Leibowitz. The <a href="https://www.vogue.com/article/kamala-harris-digital-cover-october-2024-interview">Cover photo</a> The Vice President’s title was clearly captioned: “The Candidate of Our Time.” </p>
<h2>Designers for Democracy (and Harris)</h2>
<p>The T-shirts worn by Wintour and Biden in Herald Square were designed by Zac Posen, chief creative officer of the Old Navy brand. Posen attended the New York rally alongside other fashion designers resembling Michael Kors and Tory Burch, in addition to current CFDA President Thom Browne.</p>
<p>Recognizing the facility of clothing to precise personal messages and political affiliations, Browne and Burch &#8211; together with at the least a dozen other well-known names in American fashion &#8211; collaborated with the Harris campaign team to provide a spread of clothes <a href="https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/lifestyle/lifestyle-news/kamala-harris-tim-walz-designers-for-democracy-collection-prices-photos-1235976946/">Choice-themed clothing</a>who call themselves “designers for democracy”. </p>
<p>In the red, white and blue of the American flag, scarves, tops, totes and hats have turn out to be canvases for campaign slogans that mix upholding democracy, women&#39;s reproductive rights and the environment with a vote for Harris: &#8220;History is Watching,&#8221; “Democracy – Women’s Rights – Climate” and “We’re not going back”. The Designers For Democracy initiative continues the collaborative efforts of designers who produced goods in support of Biden&#39;s 2020 presidential campaign.</p>
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<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#4c2f33"><img decoding="async" alt="Vice President Kamala Harris, wearing a white suit, speaks to a large crowd with her arms outstretched." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/628698/original/file-20241029-21-em75a9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/628698/original/file-20241029-21-em75a9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628698/original/file-20241029-21-em75a9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628698/original/file-20241029-21-em75a9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628698/original/file-20241029-21-em75a9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628698/original/file-20241029-21-em75a9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628698/original/file-20241029-21-em75a9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Kamala Harris within the election campaign in August 2024.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://www.alamy.com/savannah-united-states-29th-aug-2024-us-vice-president-kamala-harris-delivers-remarks-at-a-campaign-event-in-savannah-georgia-on-thursday-august-29-2024-harris-and-running-mate-governor-tim-walz-launched-their-bus-tour-through-georgia-and-ended-with-the-event-at-the-enmarket-arena-photo-by-richard-ellisupi-credit-upialamy-live-news-image619336968.html?imageid=08D5FCC2-B835-4C10-9A21-E17061F0CF7A&#038;p=857682&#038;pn=1&#038;searchId=bdc10f58de7d81d74ffafa0b54b727aa&#038;searchtype=0">UPI/Alamy</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>Some industry brands are taking their very own steps to encourage people to vote for Harris. Beauty brand Glossier has collaborated with The New York Times to launch a series of digital, print and billboards. It uses a cropped photo of an unclothed white woman&#39;s torso to encourage Americans to accomplish that <a href="https://cosmeticsbusiness.com/glossier-unveils-us-presidential-election-advert">“Vote for you”</a>. The slogan is a nod to the brand&#39;s You fragrance collection. However, the campaign isn&#8217;t any laughing matter. It is meant to make a sober statement. The picture has one other caption: &#8220;Vote for your daughter&#39;s future, vote for your grandmother&#39;s legacy.&#8221;</p>
<p>Both statements are thinly veiled criticism of Donald Trump&#39;s position on women&#39;s reproductive rights. The US Supreme Court will make a call in June 2022 <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/06/24/1102305878/supreme-court-abortion-roe-v-wade-decision-overturn">overthrew Roe vs. Wade</a>a landmark 1973 Court ruling that established abortion as a constitutional right for girls throughout the United States. The decision to repeal this law got here during Joe Biden&#39;s presidency, but three conservative judges were appointed by Trump, who was president between 2016 and 2020 <a href="https://time.com/7096575/donald-trump-abortion-plan-2024/">accused of supporting</a> this controversial step.  </p>
<p>In discussing its campaign, Glossier, a women-owned company, said it felt &#8220;compelled to go a step further than our previous efforts to know what&#39;s going on.&#8221; [this year’s] Vote.&#8221; In a strategic move, Glossier&#39;s billboards appear in seven key swing states where polls show Harris is struggling to distinguish herself from her Republican rival.</p>
<h2>Shaping a brand new political future</h2>
<p>The fashion industry&#39;s intervention on this 12 months&#39;s presidential contest is critical since it shows that brands, designers and editors are increasingly willing to make use of their industrial and cultural influence to spread narratives that demand social change.  </p>
<p>Bold campaigns that remind people of their obligations to past, present and future generations suggest that the style industry recognizes consumers&#39; concerns concerning the state of the world. In response to increasing political polarization and decreasing social cooperation inside and outdoors the US, people want fashion brands to do that <a href="https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/retail/our-insights/state-of-fashion">show more responsibility and authenticity</a>.</p>
<figure class="align-center ">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:94.82758620689656%;--background-color:#5f649c"><img decoding="async" alt="A poster with the words “Fashion for our future” in red, white and blue." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/628705/original/file-20241029-17-9ymaex.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/628705/original/file-20241029-17-9ymaex.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=569&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628705/original/file-20241029-17-9ymaex.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=569&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628705/original/file-20241029-17-9ymaex.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=569&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628705/original/file-20241029-17-9ymaex.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=715&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628705/original/file-20241029-17-9ymaex.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=715&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/628705/original/file-20241029-17-9ymaex.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=715&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">The campaign slogan of the Council of Fashion Designers of America.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://cfda.com/news/cfda-and-vogue-join-forces-for-fashion-for-our-future">CFDA</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>In some cases, political intervention from the style industry might be expected. Brands and designers <a href="https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/fashion/donald-trump-affect-american-new-york-fashion-week-us-presidential-election-win-a7565576.html">used their platforms for criticism</a> Trump and his policies during his presidency. There are also concerns that a second Trump term would negatively impact the style industry through higher tariffs, labor deregulation, etc <a href="https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/harris-vs-trump-fashion-future-050000795.html?guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&#038;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAA2mQ-ZeDIBmGvODj5ayWN-uDduXYqwEp9zmB0ALaImdtfcaYNWt9g2D5cfNbCBRYkkmg_Ly2d6LIyvvq3oX8fU1lAUO66CSBKcJlRUrcTyKKR-jfROGkow6dpw4A_NndXPUrxthWXGS4aNCfSsyOKjzUXllnT05niYC4-Z3cPbE">Review of sustainability initiatives</a>. </p>
<p>The fashion industry&#39;s motives usually are not entirely altruistic &#8211; and we ought to be careful about how and by whom its influence is exerted. Still, these initiatives suggest that we will take some comfort. Whoever becomes America&#39;s next president, the style industry appears to have realized that the pursuit of commerce might be balanced with the demands of 1&#39;s own conscience.</p>
<hr>
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<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:100.0%;--background-color:#4c3254"><img decoding="async" alt="" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/536131/original/file-20230706-17-460x2d.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=237&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/536131/original/file-20230706-17-460x2d.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=600&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/536131/original/file-20230706-17-460x2d.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=600&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/536131/original/file-20230706-17-460x2d.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=600&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/536131/original/file-20230706-17-460x2d.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=754&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/536131/original/file-20230706-17-460x2d.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=754&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/536131/original/file-20230706-17-460x2d.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=754&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption"></span></p>
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<p><script async src="//www.tiktok.com/embed.js"></script><br />
<br /><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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		<title>Europe is preparing for an “America First” push, no matter who wins the US elections</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/10/europe-is-preparing-for-an-america-first-push-no-matter-who-wins-the-us-elections/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Oct 2024 10:28:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[America]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=18237</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[European politicians and policymakers are busy preparing for more American protectionism, no matter who emerges as the following head of the White House after next week&#39;s election. The presidential race has remained a dead heat in recent days, with polls consistently showing the candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, tied in [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>European politicians and policymakers are busy preparing<strong> </strong>for more American protectionism, no matter who emerges as the following head of the White House after next week&#39;s election.</p>
<p>The presidential race has remained a dead heat in recent days, with polls consistently showing the candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, tied in key battleground states and across the country.</p>
<p>&#8220;Whoever wins will be &#39;America first,&#39;&#8221; a senior European diplomat, who didn&#8217;t need to be identified due to sensitive nature of the transatlantic relationship, told CNBC last week.</p>
<p>“The main concern of Americans is the economy, and the answer has to be more economic nationalism &#8211; I don&#39;t agree with that, but I don&#39;t see a way out of it,” said the senior diplomat, who&#8217;s collaborating in confidential talks between EU leaders.</p>
<p>The comments come after a warning from German Finance Minister Christian Lindner, who told CNBC on Friday that there could possibly be retaliation if the U.S. starts a trade war with the European Union.</p>
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<p>“In this case, we need diplomatic efforts to convince everyone who enters the White House that it is not in the best interests of the United States to have a trade conflict with them.” [the] European Union,” he said on the IMF annual meeting in Washington, DC</p>
<p>Trade with the United States is amazingly necessary to European nations. The EU and the USA have this <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/worlds-largest-trade-and-investment-relationship-hangs-balance#:~:text=The%20transatlantic%20economic%20relationship%20is,investment%20relationship%20in%20the%20world." target="_blank" rel="noopener">largest bilateral trade and investment relationship on this planet</a>which reached an all-time high of 1.2 trillion euros ($1.29 trillion) in 2021, based on the European Commission, the EU&#39;s executive body.</p>
<p>Harris is predicted to proceed to some extent President Joe Biden&#39;s policies, remembered in economic terms in Europe by the Inflation Reduction Act &#8211; a sweeping US law value $369 billion , which targets climate and energy policy. The IRA angered many European leaders resulting from its protectionist nature.</p>
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<p>The “America First” policy is prone to have a greater impact on European economies under a Republican presidency. Trump has threatened to impose additional blanket tariffs of 10% on European products, which could weigh on the bloc&#39;s exporters and weaken them, based on data from Goldman Sachs <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-4">the euro<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"></span></button></span></span></span>    by as much as 10%.</p>
<p>Trump&#39;s first term within the White House was a difficult time for some European leaders, who expressed distaste for the previous president&#39;s style and confrontational tone. The two sides often had different views on trade, defense and technology, amongst other issues.</p>
<p>&#8220;Trump can&#39;t surprise us anymore, we know how to deal with it, we&#39;ve had to deal with him before,&#8221; the anonymous senior diplomat also told CNBC.</p>
<p>A second EU official, who also asked to not be named resulting from the sensitive nature of U.S. relations, told CNBC: “There is no panic. We are very pragmatic, but of course we have to prepare for both scenarios.”</p>
<p>The same official added that the European Commission is working on “bold” initiatives no matter who becomes the following president.</p>
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<p>CNBC reported in May 2023 that European officials were already quietly preparing for the potential of Trump&#39;s return. This meant specializing in reducing dependencies on the US and China &#8211; something EU leaders proceed to strive for.</p>
<p>In an October statement, the EU&#39;s 27 heads of state called for &#8220;more efforts to improve the Union&#39;s competitiveness, strengthen its economic resilience, ensure its industrial renewal and realize the full potential of the internal market.&#8221;</p>
<p>“It underlines the urgency of taking effective action,” the statement continued.</p>
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<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle"><a id="headline0"></a>Champagne to have fun?</h2>
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<p>Apart from the European institutions in Brussels, there&#8217;s some disagreement in the assorted EU capitals regarding the US presidency. National leaders expressed various opinions about the potential of a second Trump presidency.</p>
<p>Hungary&#39;s Prime Minister <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/08/hungary-viktor-orban-donald-trump-victory-champagne" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Viktor Orban reportedly said this to journalists in Brussels</a> This month he revealed he would open “several bottles of champagne” when Trump returns to the White House. Just two days after U.S. voters go to the polls, EU leaders are expected to satisfy within the Hungarian capital Budapest and certain discuss the election final result over dinner.</p>
<p>A 3rd EU official, who didn&#8217;t need to be named and shall be attending the meetings in Budapest, told CNBC: &#8220;I definitely won&#39;t celebrate if Trump wins.&#8221; The same official added that the U.S. election was &#8220;very worrying “is because it “amounts to 200 votes”. [swing state] Pennsylvania.&#8221;</p>
<p>The official added that whatever the final result, “it will not be a shock like last time, and Europe has since improved its strategic autonomy and defense spending.”</p>
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<p><em>image credit : www.cnbc.com</em></p>
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		<title>Labor is prone to suffer a major defeat in Queensland. But the state elections have long caused surprises</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/10/labor-is-prone-to-suffer-a-major-defeat-in-queensland-but-the-state-elections-have-long-caused-surprises/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Oct 2024 12:44:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[caused]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[defeat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Queensland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[significant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[suffer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[surprises]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=17824</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[On Saturday October 26, Queensland Premier Steven Miles&#39; Labor Party will seek a fourth consecutive term in government, taking over David Crisafulli&#39;s Liberal National Party (LNP). Although Labor won the previous election in 2020 comfortableOpinion polls leading as much as this election have consistently shown this pointed to an LNP victory. Queensland&#39;s recent history shows [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>On Saturday October 26, Queensland Premier Steven Miles&#39; Labor Party will seek a fourth consecutive term in government, taking over David Crisafulli&#39;s Liberal National Party (LNP). </p>
<p>Although Labor won the previous election in 2020 <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-01/qld-state-election-labor-wins-annastacia-palaszczuk-elected/12834982">comfortable</a>Opinion polls leading as much as this election have consistently shown this <a href="https://www.pollbludger.net/category/queensland-politics/queensland-election-2024/">pointed to an LNP victory</a>. </p>
<p>Queensland&#39;s recent history shows that voters can result in dramatic election results, corresponding to the autumn of Labor in 2012 and its equally dramatic return to government in 2015. As there isn&#8217;t a upper house to envision government power , the winner will likely have relatively free rein to implement their political agenda. </p>
<p>A seamless trend of <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-20/queensland-election-early-voting-analysis/104493394">increased early voting</a> means many Queenslanders have already made their verdict. But what were the large issues that dominated the election campaign and what priorities will the following government work towards? </p>
<h2>The usual suspects</h2>
<p>The <a href="https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/the-issues-that-matter-most-to-qld-voters-and-how-mps-plan-to-address-them-20240912-p5k9y2.html">major problems with concern</a> Known to voters in Queensland are probably known to people in other states:</p>
<p>However, the 2 major parties have different priorities and approaches. </p>
<h2>A campaign on crime and crises</h2>
<p>The LNP is concentrated on attacking Labour&#39;s record. Crisafulli has largely tried to maintain the party informed by pointing to what they called &#8220;crises&#8221; in housing, juvenile crime, the price of living, health and government integrity <a href="https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/fear-and-hoping-in-brisvegas-20230619-p5dhl7.html">the least</a> the last 12 months. </p>
<p>The extent of juvenile crime, its causes and possible solutions include: <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-13/criminologists-debunk-youth-crime-crisis-claims/104445432">Object</a> the talk.</p>
<p>But the LNP has been keen to portray itself as proposing tougher solutions than its opponents. They have promised to vary juvenile justice laws to discourage offenders, under the slogan “<a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-04/will-adult-crime,-adult-time-reduce-youth-offending/104433498">Adult crime, maturity</a>“. </p>
<p>They have also promised to offer “tough love” to at-risk youth through mandatory retraining <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/national/queensland/protesters-crash-lnp-launch-as-final-plank-of-key-promise-announced-20241020-p5kjrj.html">Warehouse</a>. </p>
<p>On other issues, they promise more efficient health services, incentives for home ownership and more <a href="https://online.lnp.org.au/therightplan">Government transparency</a>. </p>
<p>However, they&#8217;ve been careful to avoid more controversial topics and present a “small goal” for economic management. Interestingly, the LNP has largely confirmed that it is going to adopt lots of Labour&#39;s budget priorities <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-05/qld-opposition-david-crisafulli-lnp-budget-commitments-labor/103936884">Relief from the price of living</a>. </p>
<p>Still, last-minute emphasis on a possible repeal of laws decriminalizing abortion and voluntary euthanasia threatened to derail their efforts <a href="https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/how-the-pressure-of-an-election-campaign-can-turn-a-small-target-big-20241011-p5khos.html">careful messaging</a>.</p>
<p>The LNP is returning to old ways of doing things and supporting a <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/lnp-commits-to-keep-coal-fired-power-stations-open-indefinitely/news-story/550d8c34ae75c3415485399f02d1f2ad">“indefinite” commitment to coal-fired power plants</a> and the disposal of a controversial proposed dam. </p>
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<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#4e352d"><img decoding="async" alt="The backs of two women&#39;s heads while a man speaks to them" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/627183/original/file-20241022-17-wnb2c9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/627183/original/file-20241022-17-wnb2c9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627183/original/file-20241022-17-wnb2c9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627183/original/file-20241022-17-wnb2c9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627183/original/file-20241022-17-wnb2c9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627183/original/file-20241022-17-wnb2c9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627183/original/file-20241022-17-wnb2c9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">The LNP&#39;s David Crisafulli has been ahead within the polls for months.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://photos.aap.com.au/search/20241019158987156304">Darren England/AAP</a></span><br />
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<p>Crisafulli has withdrawn his previous support for the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Treaty. </p>
<p>If they win government, the LNP would likely shut down the fresh candidates too <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/queensland-election-lnp-aboutface-hurts-reconciliation/news-story/c88f7a5ce453e2f7384a993b1f0cc2d3">Investigation to seek out truth and healing</a>They claim they&#8217;ll as a substitute give attention to “practical” help for indigenous communities.</p>
<p>They also promise electoral law reform with the long-standing commitment, “<a href="https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/does-not-invite-trust-party-leaders-warned-over-voting-war-of-words-20241001-p5kf1f.html">corrupt</a>” compulsory preferential voting and the repeal of laws that prohibited property <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/queensland-election-david-crisafulli-flags-political-donation-overhaul-as-steven-miles-seeks-reward-for-handouts/news-story/02c1f89f57f8f32e569ca9d1e23d0705">Developer donations</a>. </p>
<h2>Progressive balancing act</h2>
<p>Steven Miles took over from Annastacia Palaszczuk as Labor leader and prime minister lower than a 12 months ago.</p>
<p>Labor has also focused on using its time in office to handle essential issues while positioning itself as a force for progressive change. </p>
<p>They have warned of the LNP&#39;s potential &#8220;hidden&#8221; dangers and highlighted unpopular public service cuts within the last LNP <a href="https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election/qld-election-2024-labor-invokes-ghost-of-campbell-newman/news-story/b38569da87138ff84f570d12a3bdd39b">governed</a>. </p>
<p>They have provided direct relief for the price of living <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-11/queensland-budget-2024-treasurer-cameron-dick-cost-of-living/103958000">households</a>with 50-cent public transit fares, $1,000 energy rebates for households and promised free lunches for the general public <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-13/queensland-election-labor-promises-free-lunches-at-state-schools/104466724">Pupils</a>. </p>
<p>They expressly emphasized that this was a dividend from the increased royalties for coal mining <a href="https://www.treasury.qld.gov.au/programs-and-policies/coal-royalties/">Pursue</a>. </p>
<p>When it involves housing, they&#8217;ve continued to give attention to solving the issue <a href="https://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/queensland/qld-state-election-2024-labor-and-meaghan-scanlon-talk-social-housing/news-story/e6c4623715a9b999aeaa6842eb2d1aca">Undersupply</a> of social and inexpensive housing alongside modest reforms <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-05/qld-housing-crisis-rent-bond-property-construction-builder/103425514">Rights of tenants</a> (Although price caps are excluded). </p>
<p>They promise a brand new era of presidency intervention to enhance competition <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08-06/queensland-labor-state-owned-petrol-stations-state-election/104186768">Gasoline and energy retail</a>. </p>
<p>On crime, Labor has followed the LNP&#39;s lead on some issues, corresponding to investing in additional police resources. They have also controversially ignored and emphasized the Human Rights Act, which requires the detention of young people <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-03/queensland-politics-youth-crime-detention-labor-election/103794544">Distraction as a substitute of punishment</a>. </p>
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<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:68.70026525198939%;--background-color:#986b65"><img decoding="async" alt="Two election signs, one saying Protect Abortion Rights, Vote Labor, the other saying Vote Yes, LNP No." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/627184/original/file-20241022-15-zzaoqm.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/627184/original/file-20241022-15-zzaoqm.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=412&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627184/original/file-20241022-15-zzaoqm.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=412&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627184/original/file-20241022-15-zzaoqm.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=412&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627184/original/file-20241022-15-zzaoqm.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=518&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627184/original/file-20241022-15-zzaoqm.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=518&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/627184/original/file-20241022-15-zzaoqm.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=518&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Abortion has turn into an election issue.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://photos.aap.com.au/search/20241015155634289491">Darren England/AAP</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>What&#39;s much more comforting to progressive voters is the undeniable fact that they&#8217;re strongly committed to maintaining their abortion and voluntary euthanasia laws <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-17/qld-election-debate-analysis-steven-miles-david-crisafulli/104479680">intact</a>. Labor will even proceed the transition <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-04-21/greenhouse-gases-renewable-energy-cut-emissions-queensland/103747902">renewable energy</a>. </p>
<h2>Dissatisfaction with the foremost parties</h2>
<p>Despite their efforts, or perhaps due to Crisafulli&#39;s disciplined messaging, it doesn&#8217;t appear that voters have been persuaded to retain the federal government. There is a transparent mood for change. </p>
<p>However, it must be noted that this is just not exactly an unambiguous endorsement of Crisafulli or the LNP&#39;s entire agenda, as opinion polls show that it is just not <a href="https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election/queensland-state-election-editorial-david-crisafulli-just-not-cutting-through/news-story/98b86df853d59df2b00aeae482b7d827">particularly popular</a>. </p>
<p>After lagging behind for a lot of the campaign, Miles continues to be behind but has caught up <a href="https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/labor-back-from-the-brink-as-miles-narrows-lnp-lead-in-the-polls-20241021-p5kju9.html">plenty of ground</a> within the last week.</p>
<p>Whoever wins could have to manipulate at a time when increasingly individuals are becoming disillusioned <a href="https://australianelectionstudy.org/wp-content/uploads/Trends-in-Australian-Political-Opinion-1987-2019.pdf">mainstream parties</a>.</p>
<p>Among those vying to keep up or increase their position <a href="https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/who-are-the-qld-crossbench-contestants-and-what-do-they-want-20241014-p5ki38.html">Transverse seats</a> In <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-15/minor-parties-katter-independents-voter-frustration-qld-election/104450558">regional Queensland</a> are the socially conservative Katter&#39;s Australian Party in addition to some popular local mayors running as independents.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the Greens are pushing for a claim <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/oct/22/low-and-slow-the-tactics-that-have-made-the-greens-a-threat-in-traditionally-safe-queensland-labor-seats">more Brisbane seats</a>. </p>
<p>The smaller parties are working intensively to handle the continued problems <a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8500.12174">Housing</a>, <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-01-24/cost-of-living-climbing-faster-than-weve-been-told/103380312">Cost of living</a>health and <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-15/minor-parties-katter-independents-voter-frustration-qld-election/104450558">crime</a>. These are all difficult to resolve quickly and don&#39;t necessarily help <a href="https://www.themandarin.com.au/249705-treating-every-wicked-problem-as-a-crisis-can-skewer-policy-responses/">hasty answers</a>. </p>
<p>The next parliament must discover a option to represent a state whose public opinion is split between those in the town and people in the town <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-21/brisbane-outer-suburbs-logan-ipswich-election-labor-lnp-crime/104489902">regional areas</a> across all essential topics.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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		<title>In November, ten states will vote on abortion rights – the Democrats cannot count on this to win them elections</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/09/in-november-ten-states-will-vote-on-abortion-rights-the-democrats-cannot-count-on-this-to-win-them-elections/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Sep 2024 01:20:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[abortion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[count]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[November]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ten]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[win]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=15417</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Ten states will vote on popular initiatives on abortion this November: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, recent York, Nevada And South Dakota. Many political analysts and experts consider abortion as party political issue, Fueling speculation that direct votes on abortion rights will boost Democrats’ possibilities within the November elections. Some Democratic strategists hope [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/politics/abortion-ballot-states.html">Ten states</a> will vote on popular initiatives on abortion <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/abortion-rights-ballot-measures-states-rcna168621">this November</a>: <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/arizona-certifies-abortion-rights-initiative-november-ballot-rcna166321">Arizona</a>, <a href="https://coloradosun.com/2024/05/17/colorado-abortion-ballot-measure-2024-qualifies/">Colorado</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/florida-abortion-ballot-amendment-elections-police-cfd4e3479498e63e65f1116acd95f7be">Florida</a>, <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Maryland_Question_1,_Right_to_Reproductive_Freedom_Amendment_(2024)">Maryland</a>, <a href="https://missouriindependent.com/2024/09/10/missouri-supreme-court-rules-amendment-legalizing-abortion-will-remain-on-ballot/">Missouri</a>, <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Montana_CI-128,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)">Montana</a>, <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/nebraska-abortion-ballot-measures-rcna171144">Nebraska</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/abortion-new-york-election-2024-63c14f16518a5e3bcb1f63cd19680f56">recent York</a>, <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/nevada-adds-proposed-constitutional-amendment-for-abortion-rights-to-2024-ballot">Nevada</a> And <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/South_Dakota_Constitutional_Amendment_G,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)">South Dakota</a>. </p>
<p>Many political analysts and experts consider abortion as <a href="https://www.npr.org/2024/05/02/1248599739/abortion-democrats-independents-republicans-voting-2024-election">party political issue</a>, <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/abortion-rights-questions-ballots-9-states-tilt-elections-113448013">Fueling speculation</a> that direct votes on abortion rights will boost Democrats’ possibilities within the November elections. Some Democratic strategists hope that voter turnout within the ballot initiatives will boost Republican candidates in key states like <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/25/abortion-2024-elections-arizona-00148683">Arizona</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/06/12/nevada-senate-race-democrats-turn-battle-tested-abortion-message/">Nevada</a> And <a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4860467-florida-democrats-abortion-campaign/">Florida</a>. </p>
<p>But the impact of electoral proposals on a candidate’s victory or defeat isn&#8217;t so clear.</p>
<p>In the last three years <a href="https://asu.academia.edu/BenjaminCase">my work</a> As a political sociologist, I even have catalogued and studied ballot initiatives. Based on state-level data and current trends, I believe it is rather likely that lots of the anti-abortion ballot initiatives proposed in November will pass. However, this may not necessarily result in broader victories for Democratic candidates.</p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#33384d"><img decoding="async" alt="You can see a crowd of people sitting on folding chairs, including one person with the words “Vote for life” written on his back." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/619951/original/file-20240917-20-gnkyj9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/619951/original/file-20240917-20-gnkyj9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619951/original/file-20240917-20-gnkyj9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619951/original/file-20240917-20-gnkyj9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619951/original/file-20240917-20-gnkyj9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619951/original/file-20240917-20-gnkyj9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619951/original/file-20240917-20-gnkyj9.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">A participant wears a &#8220;Vote for Life&#8221; t-shirt during a rally in Kentucky ahead of the October 2022 abortion vote.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/news-photo/an-attendee-wears-a-vote-for-life-shirt-during-a-rally-news-photo/1243948759?adppopup=true">Stefani Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<h2>The wave of votes for abortion rights</h2>
<p>The Supreme Court of the United States <a href="https://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/dobbs-v-jackson-womens-health-organization/">half a century of federal abortion repealed</a> protections in June 2022, which is able to return the query of whether and when people can get an abortion to individual states to make a decision. Republican lawmakers in Kansas quickly seized the chance and launched a referendum that will allow them to permit abortions on the <a href="https://apnews.com/article/kansas-abortion-vote-gop-limits-cd7ec762b2567751bc4af1f7ed6f8d52">Primary elections in August 2022</a>.</p>
<p>It backfired. Although the vast majority of voters are Republican, <a href="https://www.npr.org/sections/2022-live-primary-election-race-results/2022/08/02/1115317596/kansas-voters-abortion-legal-reject-constitutional-amendment">Voters rejected in Kansas</a> the ban on abortion. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-abortion.html">In 2022</a> And <a href="https://apnews.com/article/ohio-abortion-amendment-election-2023-fe3e06747b616507d8ca21ea26485270">2023, voters</a> In six other states, the best to abortion was protected by referendums. <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/kentucky-voters-reject-anti-abortion-ballot-measure-rcna56313">Kentucky and</a> <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/11/10/1134833151/montana-midterms-results-born-alive-abortion">Voters in Montana</a> Abortion bans rejected, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/11/09/1134833374/california-results-abortion-contraception-amendment-midterms">while California</a>, <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/09/michigan-abortion-amendment-results-2022-00064778">Michigan</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/ohio-abortion-amendment-election-2023-fe3e06747b616507d8ca21ea26485270">Ohio and</a> <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/11/09/1134832172/vermont-votes-abortion-constitution-midterms-results">Vermont has voted</a> to enshrine abortion rights of their state constitutions, all through votes.</p>
<h2>Election initiatives are non-partisan</h2>
<p><a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_initiative">Election initiatives</a> &#8211; also called propositions, measures, referendums, etc. &#8211; seek advice from votes on a policy quite than a politician. In some states, voters can put initiatives on the ballot by collecting signatures. In all but one state &#8211; Delaware &#8211; state legislators can put issues on to voters in the shape of a referendum. In other cases, akin to amending most state constitutions, decisions have to be put to a well-liked vote.</p>
<p>The media often portrays US politics through a polarized two-party lens. Referendums don&#8217;t necessarily fit this pattern. Referendums on issues akin to the minimum wage and Medicaid expansion show that some policies are popular with each Democratic and Republican parties. For example, raising the <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Minimum_wage_on_the_ballot">Minimum wage is unbeaten</a> in 24 state-level referendums since 1996, including in traditionally conservative in addition to liberal and swing states. </p>
<p>The state elections which have resulted in abortion rights victories since 2022 reflect an identical dynamic. The issue is polarizing, but not in the center and never strictly along party lines. National polls show that there has long been <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/fact-sheet/public-opinion-on-abortion/">Majority support</a> for abortion rights, including many Republicans. </p>
<h2>Inconclusive at best</h2>
<p>There are studies that indicate that elections <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/43439170_The_Effects_of_Ballot_Initiatives_on_Voter_Turnout_in_the_United_States">Initiatives can increase</a> Voter turnout. However, most studies show <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/2669246">mixed results</a> <a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-008-9062-0">and limited</a> <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-6237.2010.00688.x">Effects</a>.</p>
<p>When we have a look at the turnout numbers for the 2022 and 2023 state elections that included a vote on abortion rights and compare them to the numbers for previous elections in the identical states, we see no compelling evidence that the ballot measures attracted more voters. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/new-voter-turnout-data-from-2022-shows-some-surprises-including-lower-turnout-for-youth-women-and-black-americans-in-some-states/">Michigan</a> <a href="https://vtdigger.org/2022/11/15/vermont-sees-record-high-midterm-turnout-in-historic-election-year/">and Vermont</a> had increased voter turnout in 2022, while voters <a href="https://www.ppic.org/blog/who-voted-in-the-2022-election-and-what-does-it-mean-for-2024/">In California, the numbers fell</a>, <a href="https://www.ppic.org/blog/who-voted-in-the-2022-election-and-what-does-it-mean-for-2024/">Kentucky</a> <a href="https://sosmt.gov/elections/voter-turnout/">and Montana</a>. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-kansas.html">Kansas in 2022</a> And <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/11/07/us/elections/results-ohio.html">Ohio in 2023</a> In each cases, votes were won, but these votes are difficult to match because they were forged in a primary or an election in an odd-numbered 12 months when voter turnout is normally low.</p>
<p>Popular initiatives on abortion law, whether to codify it or to ban it, also appear to have little influence on party-political elections. After the rejection of the abortion ban in August 2022 <a href="https://sos.ks.gov/elections/22elec/2022-General-Official-Vote-Totals.pdf">Kansas voters voted again</a> each the incumbent Democratic governor and an incumbent Republican senator in November. The seats within the Kansas House of Representatives remained unchanged, with Republicans holding a two-thirds majority.</p>
<p>In <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-kentucky.html">Kentucky</a> And <a href="https://www.politico.com/2022-election/results/montana/">Montana</a>a majority of voters rejected abortion bans in 2022 and continued to elect Republicans to state offices. <a href="https://mielections.us/election/results/2022GEN_CENR.html">Michigan</a>In 2022, along with the state&#39;s vote for abortion rights, Democrats took control of the state legislature.</p>
<p>It is feasible that <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/republicans-house-election-margin/">Michigan’s “blue wave”</a> in 2022 received a lift from the state&#39;s ballot initiative to guard abortion rights this 12 months. However, it can have more to do with direct laws from the previous election. In 2018 <a href="https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/06/proposal-2-michigan-gerrymandering/1847078002/">The voters of Michigan have</a> a ballot initiative to create an independent redistricting commission, reversing years of gerrymandering that had benefited Republicans. These redrawn maps were first utilized in 2022. </p>
<p>And most significantly, simply because a voter cares about abortion rights doesn&#39;t necessarily mean he or she&#8217;s going to vote Democrat. <a href="https://www.kff.org/womens-health-policy/poll-finding/polling-insight-republican-women-voters-on-abortion/">overwhelming support</a> the best to abortion in all states. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, about <a href="https://www.npr.org/2024/03/06/1236295096/super-tuesday-results-uncommitted-biden-gaza-israel">6% of voters</a> voted “undecided” in Nevada’s 2024 Democratic primary, consistent with the national <a href="https://www.uncommittedmovement.com/">unbound movement</a> in solidarity with the Palestinians. This political movement advocates withholding support for the Democrats in relation to the Biden administration’s support for <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/13/israel-gaza-historian-omer-bartov">Israel&#39;s</a> War in Gaza. These voters will almost definitely support the state’s abortion initiative in November, but <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2024/8/19/why-i-am-not-voting-for-kamala-harris">not allowed</a> <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/minnesota/news/pro-palestinian-uncommitted-voters-hope-harris-campaign-does-more-before-election-day/">be convinced</a> to vote for Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris or other Democrats.</p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:66.71087533156499%;--background-color:#2d3754"><img decoding="async" alt="People stand in a room with an American flag and hands holding a sign that reads, "Freedom is up for vote."" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/619934/original/file-20240917-16-bo4ry6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/619934/original/file-20240917-16-bo4ry6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619934/original/file-20240917-16-bo4ry6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619934/original/file-20240917-16-bo4ry6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=400&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619934/original/file-20240917-16-bo4ry6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619934/original/file-20240917-16-bo4ry6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/619934/original/file-20240917-16-bo4ry6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=503&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Signs supporting Montana&#39;s upcoming abortion initiative are displayed during a rally in Bozeman on September 5, 2024.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/news-photo/signs-supporting-the-right-to-abortion-initiative-are-news-photo/2169753220?adppopup=true">William Campbell/Getty Images</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<h2>Democrats cannot depend on abortion initiatives</h2>
<p>Popular initiatives are about concrete issues, not political candidates. In this case, the query of abortion rights <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/abortion-rights-ballot-measures-democrats/story?id=112114926">more nationwide support</a> than the Democratic Party.</p>
<p>If Democratic politicians &#8211; from Harris and Tim Walz to state and native candidates &#8211; need to win in November, they may should persuade voters on their merits relative to their Republican opponents. They cannot count on abortion initiatives to assist them win the 2024 election.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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		<title>Judge postpones Trump&#039;s ruling in hush money case until after November elections</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/09/judge-postpones-trumps-ruling-in-hush-money-case-until-after-november-elections/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Sep 2024 18:36:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[case]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Judge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[November]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[postpones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ruling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump39s]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=14049</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[National News NEW YORK (AP) — A judge on Friday agreed to delay sentencing in Donald Trump&#39;s hush money case until after the November election, granting him a hard-fought reprieve as he deals with the aftermath of his criminal conviction and heads into the house stretch of his presidential campaign. Manhattan Judge Juan M. Merchan, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>								National News<br />
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<p>NEW YORK (AP) — A judge on Friday agreed to delay sentencing in Donald Trump&#39;s hush money case until after the November election, granting him a hard-fought reprieve as he deals with the aftermath of his criminal conviction and heads into the house stretch of his presidential campaign.</p>
<p>Manhattan Judge Juan M. Merchan, who can also be considering a defense motion to overturn the decision on immunity grounds, postponed Trump&#39;s sentencing until November 26, several weeks after the ultimate votes are solid within the presidential election.</p>
<p>The meeting was scheduled for September 18, about seven weeks before election day.</p>
<p>Merchan wrote that he was postponing sentencing &#8220;to avoid any appearance, however unjustified, that the proceedings have been influenced or are attempting to be influenced by the upcoming presidential election in which the defendant is a candidate.&#8221;</p>
<p>“The court is a fair, impartial and non-political institution,” he added.</p>
<p>Trump&#39;s lawyers pushed for the delay on several fronts. <a href="https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25045300-20240814-letter-to-justice-merchan-re-sentencing-adjournment?responsive=1&#038;title=1">Petition to the judge</a> and asks for a <a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-hush-money-trial-new-york-conviction-sentencing-8389e21c214b79220e6530a395a61192">Federal Court should intervene</a>They argued that punishing the previous president and current Republican candidate within the midst of his campaign to recapture the White House would amount to election interference.</p>
<p>Trump&#39;s lawyers argued that postponing the sentencing until after the election would also give him time to think about the following steps after Merchan rules on the defense&#39;s motion to <a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-immunity-hush-money-new-york-conviction-b67bafcb92b287933c6e6d54fc122117">overturn his conviction and dismiss the case</a> attributable to the choice of the US Supreme Court in July <a href="https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-trump-capitol-riot-immunity-2dc0d1c2368d404adc0054151490f542">Presidential immunity decision</a>.</p>
<p>In his order on Friday, Merchan postponed a call on this until November 12.</p>
<p>A <a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-hush-money-sentencing-new-york-immunity-a905207c7db9fc48d022d68ac6cc12e1">Federal judge rejected Trump&#39;s request on Tuesday</a> to have the U.S. District Court in Manhattan take over the case from Merchan&#39;s state court. If this had been successful, <a href="https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25081863-people-v-trump-federal-court-removal-notice?responsive=1&#038;title=1">Trump&#39;s lawyers said</a> They then tried to overturn the decision and dismiss the lawsuit on immunity grounds.</p>
<p>Trump has appealed the federal court&#39;s ruling.</p>
<p>The Manhattan district attorney&#39;s office, which prosecuted Trump&#39;s case, agreed with Merchan&#39;s decision and didn&#8217;t comment on the defense&#39;s request for a delay.</p>
<p>Messages were left for Trump&#39;s lawyers and prosecutors looking for comment.</p>
<p>Election Day is November 5, but many states allow voters to solid their ballots earlier, and a few states are even planning to attend until just a few days before or after September 18.</p>
<p>Trump was found guilty in May of 34 counts of falsifying business records to hide a $130,000 hush money payment to porn star Stormy Daniels shortly before the 2016 presidential election. Daniels claims she and Trump had a sexual encounter 10 years earlier after meeting at a celeb golf tournament in Lake Tahoe.</p>
<p>Prosecutors described the payment as a part of an effort initiated by Trump to stop voters from hearing salacious stories about him during his first presidential campaign. Trump&#39;s former lawyer Michael Cohen paid Daniels and was later reimbursed by Trump, whose company recorded the reimbursements as legal expenses.</p>
<p>Trump insists the stories are false, that the reimbursements for legal work were made and recorded accurately, and that the case &#8211; brought by Democratic Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg &#8211; is a component of a politically motivated &#8220;witch hunt&#8221; geared toward damaging his current campaign.</p>
<p>Democrats, who support their party&#39;s nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, have made his beliefs a spotlight of their messaging.</p>
<p>In speeches on the party&#39;s condemnation in Chicago last month, President Joe Biden called Trump a &#8220;convicted felon&#8221; running against a former prosecutor. Texas Rep. Jasmine Crockett called Trump a &#8220;career criminal with 34 felonies, two articles of impeachment and a porn star record.&#8221;</p>
<p>Trump&#39;s Democratic opponent on the 2016 convention, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, drew chants of &#8220;lock him up&#8221; from the group when she joked that Trump &#8220;fell asleep at his own trial, and when he woke up, he made history in his own way: He became the first presidential candidate to have 34 convictions for a serious crime.&#8221;</p>
<p>Falsifying business records will be punished with as much as 4 years in prison. Other possible penalties include probation, a nice or conditional release. Trump would need to stay out of trouble to avoid additional punishment. Trump is the primary ex-president to be convicted of against the law.</p>
<p>Trump has announced that he&#8217;ll appeal, but this may only occur once the decision is final.</p>
<p>In their request for a delay, Trump&#39;s lawyers Todd Blanche and Emil Bove argued that the short time period between the immunity decision scheduled for September 16 and the decision, which was speculated to have taken place two days later, was unfair to Trump.</p>
<p>To prepare for the Sept. 18 sentencing, prosecutors will make their sentencing recommendations while Merchan considers whether to dismiss the case, the lawyers said. If Merchan rules against Trump, he would wish &#8220;sufficient time to consider and pursue federal and state appeal options,&#8221; they said.</p>
<p>The Supreme Court&#39;s immunity decision limits the prosecution of former presidents for official acts and prevents prosecutors from pointing to official acts as evidence that a president&#39;s unofficial actions were illegal.</p>
<p>Trump&#39;s lawyers argue that, given the decision, the jury within the hush money trial shouldn&#8217;t have heard evidence reminiscent of accounts by former White House staff of how the then-president reacted to reports in regards to the Daniels deal.</p>
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		<title>How the 14th Amendment prevents state legislatures from manipulating presidential elections</title>
		<link>https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/2024/09/how-the-14th-amendment-prevents-state-legislatures-from-manipulating-presidential-elections/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[chandankumarsoft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Sep 2024 13:50:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[14th]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amendment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[legislatures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manipulating]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[presidential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prevents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[state]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://bloggingthree.soflytech.com/?p=13591</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Donald Trump&#39;s efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election not only failed, but were also based partly on a misinterpretation of the U.S. Constitution. as our recent evaluation arguesThe corresponding constitutional provision dates from the period immediately after the Civil War and was recognized by contemporaries as a central protective mechanism of [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p>
<div itemprop="articleBody">
<p>Donald Trump&#39;s efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election not only failed, but were also based partly on a misinterpretation of the U.S. Constitution. <a href="https://arizonastatelawjournal.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Froomkin_Pub.pdf">as our recent evaluation argues</a>The corresponding constitutional provision dates from the period immediately after the Civil War and was recognized by contemporaries as a central protective mechanism of American democracy.</p>
<p>In November 2020, when it became clear that Trump had lost the favored vote and would lose the Electoral College, Trump and his supporters organized a <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/01/08/us/trump-2020-overturn-timeline.html">Print campaign</a> to steer the legislatures of several states whose residents voted for Joe Biden to appoint electors who would support Trump&#39;s re-election within the Electoral College vote.</p>
<p>Trump and his allies contacted Republican lawmakers in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania to <a href="https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-J6-REPORT/html-submitted/ch2.html">State parliaments</a> to overturn the end result of the favored vote. Ginni Thomas, the wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2022/06/10/ginni-thomas-election-arizona-lawmakers/">via email to GOP lawmakers in Arizona</a>and called on them to “ensure that a clean slate of electors is elected.”</p>
<p>These efforts were based on a provision of the Constitution in Article II, Section 1, which states: “Each State shall appoint <a href="https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/article-2/#article-2-section-1-clause-2">in the manner prescribed by the legislator</a>a number of electors.” Trump and his supporters wanted state legislatures to discard their residents’ votes and easily appoint electors who would support Trump’s re-election campaign.</p>
<p>As a part of their efforts, Trump and his supporters claimed that the Constitution allows state legislatures to <a href="https://lawecommons.luc.edu/luclj/vol51/iss2/3">directly elect an inventory of electors</a> and not using a referendum.</p>
<p>But they were improper. There was already a safeguard in place – and it still exists today – to forestall this approach from getting used to <a href="https://azmirror.com/2024/02/15/republican-resolution-shows-intent-to-bypass-voters-in-the-2024-presidential-election/">undermine the 2024 presidential election</a>.</p>
<h2>An try and protect the facility of the voters</h2>
<figure class="align-right zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:170.46413502109706%;--background-color:#807f80"><img decoding="async" alt="" class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/614355/original/file-20240819-19-wspmii.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=237&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/614355/original/file-20240819-19-wspmii.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=1024&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/614355/original/file-20240819-19-wspmii.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=1024&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/614355/original/file-20240819-19-wspmii.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=1024&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/614355/original/file-20240819-19-wspmii.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=1286&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/614355/original/file-20240819-19-wspmii.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=1286&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/614355/original/file-20240819-19-wspmii.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=1286&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">A message published in South Carolina on August 19, 1868, provides insight into the then-understanding of Section 2 of the 14th Amendment.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://www.newspapers.com/image/73824534/?match=1&#038;amp%3Bterms=%22then%20the%20basis%20of%20representation%20in%20such%20State%20must%20be%20reduced%20by%20the%20number%20of%20all%20the%20voters%2C%20which%20is%20to%20say%20that%20it%20is%20to%20have%20no%20basis%20of%20representation%20at%20all%22">The Anderson Intelligencer via newspapers.com</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p>In just about all states <a href="https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/the-electoral-college">Candidate who receives probably the most votes</a> For the presidency, the candidate receives all of the votes of the electors of the respective state. <a href="https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/the-electoral-college">Nebraska and Maine have small exceptions</a> – but under the laws of those states, nearly all of electoral votes still go to whoever receives nearly all of votes nationwide.</p>
<p>In the late 1860s, when the 14th Amendment was drafted and ratified, the identical was true – although the proper to vote <a href="https://www.archives.gov/milestone-documents/19th-amendment">limited to men until 1920</a>and states often denied or restricted the proper to vote for some residents, particularly members of ethnic minorities. After the Civil War, Congress attempted to cut back barriers to voting for black men, particularly within the South. </p>
<p>When Congress debated the 14th Amendment in 1866, its drafters drafted Section 2 in a <a href="https://doi.org/10.1353/cwe.2024.a919853">Efforts to force reluctant white Southerners to grant black men the proper to vote</a>.</p>
<p>Section 2 of the 14th Amendment states: “<a href="https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/amendment-14/#amendment-14-section-2">if the right to vote in every election</a> for choosing Electors for President and Vice President of the United States … is denied … or in any manner abridged …, the basis of representation” for that State within the United States House of Representatives “shall be reduced” in proportion to the quantity of the abridgement.</p>
<p>So if a state were to deprive one in all its residents of the proper to vote, it might immediately <a href="https://arizonastatelawjournal.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Froomkin_Pub.pdf">lose the identical percentage of seats within the House of Representatives</a> as a percentage of people that were disenfranchised.</p>
<p>Just just a few weeks after ratification, this provision was questioned for the primary time. </p>
<p>The Republican-dominated Reconstruction Legislature of Florida <a href="https://perma.cc/LS26-Y5TW">decided to carry presidential elections without popular vote</a>. The Democrats—then the party that supported black disenfranchisement—were furious. Many Southern newspaper journalists, still indignant concerning the ratification of the 14th Amendment, saw a chance to show the amendment against its Republican authors.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="https://www.newspapers.com/image/72230217/?match=1&#038;terms=%22is%20that%20if%20in%20any%20State%20the%20election%20of%20Presidential%20electors%20%22">The easy conclusion is that if in a state</a> “If the choice of Presidential Electors is no longer left to the people, and placed in the hands of the Legislature, the whole citizenry of the State… will be excluded from it,” wrote the Charleston Daily News on August 10, 1868.</p>
<p>This was not a rare or local view: nine days later, the Anderson Intelligencer, a South Carolina newspaper, published a brief article attributed to the New York Herald that stated similarly:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>&#8220;<a href="https://www.newspapers.com/image/73824534/?match=1&#038;terms=%22then%20the%20basis%20of%20representation%20in%20such%20State%20must%20be%20reduced%20by%20the%20number%20of%20all%20the%20voters%2C%20which%20is%20to%20say%20that%20it%20is%20to%20have%20no%20basis%20of%20representation%20at%20all%22">If all voters in a state are denied the proper to decide on presidential electors</a>then the premise of representation on this state have to be reduced by the variety of all voters, that&#8217;s, there must not be any basis of representation in any respect.&#8221;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>These opinion pieces don&#8217;t have any legal authority, but they reflect a standard – albeit controversial – <a href="https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1868/08/08/78952288.html?pageNumber=4">Understanding the provisions of the 14th Amendment</a> on the time of its passage. No one filed a lawsuit, so no court had the chance to comment. And the Republican-dominated Congress had no qualms about accepting electoral votes &#8211; even and not using a popular vote &#8211; for the Republican presidential candidate.</p>
<h2>The right to have your vote counted</h2>
<p>After the 2020 election, Congress took steps to make clear that electors have to be those who select presidential electors. A law passed in 2022 revised the federal law governing electoral college selection to require state legislatures to find out their state&#39;s method for choosing electors before Election Day and <a href="https://www.ncsl.org/state-legislatures-news/details/what-the-electoral-count-reform-act-means-for-states">can not change it after the votes have been forged</a>. </p>
<p>This clarification is consistent with, and even strengthens, the provisions of Section 2 of the 14th Amendment.</p>
<p>As our evaluation shows, a direct election of electors by a state legislature would disenfranchise all voters within the state. After all, the proper to vote is the proper to have one&#39;s vote counted, not the proper to have one&#39;s candidate win. </p>
<p>Thus, even when the legislature were to pick out a slate of electors that might have received significant support in the favored election, the legislature&#39;s decision would limit the rights of each voter within the state. Disenfranchisement is determined by whether the people or the legislature selects the electors, not on which electors are chosen.</p>
<p>If all voters in a state are disenfranchised, Section 2 requires that the <a href="https://arizonastatelawjournal.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Froomkin_Pub.pdf">The state’s representation within the House of Representatives will probably be immediately and mechanically reduced to zero</a>. The Constitution elsewhere provides that the representation of every state within the Electoral College <a href="https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/article-2/#article-2-section-1-clause-2">Total of the delegations of the House of Representatives and the Senate of the State</a>. </p>
<p>If a state doesn&#8217;t have a representative within the House of Representatives, it might only have two electors, making its influence on the presidential election negligible and largely irrelevant.</p>
<h2>A single exception</h2>
<p>To date, it&#8217;s the only case, other than Florida in 1868, during which a state legislature has chosen its presidential electors and not using a popular vote. <a href="https://ir.law.fsu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1609&#038;context=lr">got here in 1876</a>. </p>
<figure class="align-center zoomable">
<div class="placeholder-container" style="--aspect-ratio-percent:68.96551724137932%;--background-color:#85827d"><img decoding="async" alt="Copperplate engraving of portraits of two men." class="lazyload" src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/615878/original/file-20240827-18-eoeuuf.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip" srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/files/615878/original/file-20240827-18-eoeuuf.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=414&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 600w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/615878/original/file-20240827-18-eoeuuf.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=414&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1200w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/615878/original/file-20240827-18-eoeuuf.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=600&#038;h=414&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 1800w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/615878/original/file-20240827-18-eoeuuf.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=520&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=1 754w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/615878/original/file-20240827-18-eoeuuf.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=30&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=520&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=2 1508w, https://images.theconversation.com/files/615878/original/file-20240827-18-eoeuuf.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;q=15&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;h=520&#038;fit=crop&#038;dpr=3 2262w" sizes="(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px"></div><figcaption>
              <span class="caption">Democrat Samuel Tilden (left) and Republican Rutherford Hayes ran for president within the 1876 election.</span><br />
              <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/news-photo/the-presidental-contest-in-america-samuel-tilden-the-news-photo/464769291">Universal History Archive/Universal Images Group via Getty Images</a></span><br />
            </figcaption></figure>
<p><a href="https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/educational-resources/disputed-election-1876">Electoral fraud, political violence and voter intimidation</a> <a href="https://kansaspress.ku.edu/9780700617876/">undermined the integrity of the 1876 presidential election</a>The Constitution of Colorado, which was newly recognized as a state, provided that the legislature <a href="https://archives.colorado.gov/sites/archives/files/Colorado%20Constitution.pdf">In 1876, elect the state&#39;s presidential electors and not using a popular vote</a>Overshadowed by an exceptionally bitter election, the number of Colorado’s presidential electors by the legislature <a href="https://duurjportal.com/index.php/duurj/article/view/221/119">relatively little attention or debate</a>.</p>
<p>Overall, one can conclude that Southern newspapers in 1868 read the text of Section 2 accurately. The authors could have been cynical opportunists looking for to defend an untenable racist hierarchy, but their interpretation of the text is cheap.</p>
<p>The meaning of Section 2 is obvious and provides for severe penalties if a state doesn&#8217;t allow its residents to vote for presidential electors. The 14th Amendment continues to guard American democracy greater than 150 years after its ratification.</p>
</p></div>
<p><em>image credit : theconversation.com</em></p>
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